TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9443…7c5d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+220%+$25.31
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$5.82
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.48
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+537.4%+$567.14
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$18.43
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.37
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+334%+$151.18
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.04
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.57
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.38
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.12
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+275.7%+$149.69
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+71.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$8.42
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$26.13
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+377.8%+$124.68
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Gbacked Partizan Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+224.6%+$24.71
LoL: FN Esports vs Team Phantasma (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Hbacked Team Phantasma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+232.7%+$44.21
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Colossal Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 3backed Arctic Pandas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$25.54
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+325.7%+$37.45
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$23.06
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+36.1%+$8.31
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+69.7%+$12.24
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$16.77
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$51.93
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$11.76
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$18.85
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+32.5%+$9.36
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+528%+$137.27
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+600.8%+$287.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$16.84
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+65.8%+$10.53
Bruins vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+78.8%+$11.83
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Sharks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+46.6%+$31.92
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$4.53
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$3.82
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.91
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 62-63°F on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$10.92
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+103.3%+$15.5
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-60.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-53.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+95.4%+$23.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$19.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.