Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb6e85c06ace7b46b85a3528fa767e79cc0ebb0890b6872f8d093775d20a0754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Alcaraz, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,787,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,671,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,787,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Minaur | 5c | 134,525$6,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,263.27 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Minaur | 15c | 100,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Minaur | 10c | 82,405$7,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,983.37 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Minaur | 14c | 77,777$10,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,888.76 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Minaur | 15c | 64,918$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Minaur | 15c | 58,565$9,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,013.02 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Minaur | 17c | 53,795$9,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,207.94 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Minaur | 3c | 51,242$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.92 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Minaur | 16c | 40,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Minaur | 14c | 40,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Minaur | 15c | 37,120$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,450.39 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…09efbacked Minaur | 12c | 35,407$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…2fadbacked Minaur | 15c | 30,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Minaur | 15c | 26,640$3,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Minaur | 15c | 25,914$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,906.01 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Minaur | 0c | 25,434$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Minaur | 15c | 25,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Minaur | 16c | 23,982$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.95 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Minaur | 0c | 22,149$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Minaur | 16c | 20,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.98 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Minaur | 16c | 18,824$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,070.21 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…3fa1backed Minaur | 1c | 16,882$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…732cbacked Minaur | 4c | 16,663$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Minaur | 15c | 14,522$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.25 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…e904backed Minaur | 11c | 13,391$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.29 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Minaur | 16c | 12,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Minaur | 18c | 12,130$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.46 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Minaur | 16c | 11,725$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Minaur | 4c | 11,616$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.76 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Minaur | 19c | 11,595$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.71 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Minaur | 16c | 11,576$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.81 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minaur | 15c | 11,404$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.11 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…27bdbacked Minaur | 3c | 10,250$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Minaur | 15c | 9,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Minaur | 15c | 8,673$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.1 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Minaur | 9c | 6,677$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.76 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Alcaraz | 80c | 6,500$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Minaur | 17c | 6,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Minaur | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minaur | 18c | 5,330$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.25 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Minaur | 11c | 5,203$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.54 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Minaur | 16c | 5,011$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.77 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Alcaraz | 80c | 5,011$4,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Minaur | 12c | 5,000$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.02 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Minaur | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Minaur | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Minaur | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Minaur | 15c | 4,923$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.09 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Minaur | 16c | 4,833$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Minaur | 1c | 3,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minaur | 15c | 3,250$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.05 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Minaur | 16c | 3,183$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.35 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Alcaraz | 80c | 3,155$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.95 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Minaur | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Minaur | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Minaur | 17c | 2,618$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…a2fdbacked Minaur | 16c | 2,581$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Minaur | 16c | 2,537$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.45 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…5bc2backed Minaur | 9c | 2,400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Minaur | 17c | 2,356$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.5 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Minaur | 16c | 2,186$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.94 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Minaur | 18c | 2,165$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.73 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Minaur | 13c | 2,050$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.85 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Minaur | 18c | 1,778$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Minaur | 14c | 1,700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Minaur | 16c | 1,600$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Minaur | 4c | 1,590$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Minaur | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Minaur | 16c | 1,443$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.77 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Minaur | 17c | 1,295$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.06 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Minaur | 15c | 1,285$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.44 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…0359backed Minaur | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Minaur | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Minaur | 16c | 1,218$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.88 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minaur | 2c | 1,108$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Minaur | 3c | 1,100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Minaur | 15c | 1,100$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked Minaur | 12c | 1,084$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Minaur | 17c | 1,059$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Minaur | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…36a0backed Minaur | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Minaur | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…0606backed Minaur | 13c | 1,000$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Minaur | 16c | 987.5$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Minaur | 18c | 916.94$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.05 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Minaur | 19c | 900$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Minaur | 15c | 894.04$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.11 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…df70backed Minaur | 19c | 873.68$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Minaur | 17c | 867.31$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.44 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35dc…0083backed Minaur | 5c | 844.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b4…e428backed Minaur | 16c | 835.31$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Minaur | 13c | 780$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Minaur | 7c | 774$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Minaur | 17c | 770$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…02a2backed Alcaraz | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Minaur | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Minaur | 15c | 750$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed Minaur | 21c | 731.69$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…be65backed Minaur | 5c | 699.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed Minaur | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurthis page
- Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs MinaurAlcaraz won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Minaur (+1.5)Alcaraz won
- Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Minaur (+2.5)Alcaraz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.