TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35dc…0083

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 62 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.78
Mavericks vs. Suns: 1H Moneylinebacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.86
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$135.62
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+74.5%+$183.07
Spurs vs. Warriors: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$135.71
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$74.33
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+376.2%+$150.48
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$94.53
Bucks vs. Magic: 1H Moneylinebacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+316.7%+$66.12
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$42.12
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: 1H Moneylinebacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$170.37
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+46%+$161.57
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$189.45
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$116.25
Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24.4
Bucks vs. Hawks: 1H Moneylinebacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+102.3%+$46.02
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$25.38
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$41.11
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$52.91
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$225.76
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+82.8%+$235.54
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$282.36
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+74.9%+$93.81
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$75.07
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+299.3%+$116.72
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$165.07
Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs ARCRED (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Fingers Crossed · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+201.9%+$133.06
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+125.3%+$150.36
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+48%+$95.46
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winnerbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+207.1%+$41.43
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-58.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Sebastian Korda vs Frances Tiafoebacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$121.25
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Minaur (+2.5)backed Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$272.25
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$44.62
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$77.83
Australian Open Women's: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$117.44
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)backed Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Tien (+2.5)backed Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+56.2%+$98.76
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$71.91
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Brisbane International: Sebastian Korda vs Alex Michelsenbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+43.1%+$21.57
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+120%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+279.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+428%+$141.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+131.6%+$285.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+222.6%+$55.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$351.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.