TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Jazz, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,237,469
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,177,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,237,469 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz11c105,499$11,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,154.8947028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz11c78,912$8,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,680.3551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz11c78,468$8,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,828.7248845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Jazz12c37,201$4,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,464.1560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Jazz11c30,098$3,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,305.959938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Jazz12c30,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9915740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz11c27,474$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,967.9546928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Jazz12c25,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00015435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Jazz12c24,800$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97619653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz11c23,879$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,626.692,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Jazz10c19,999$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.914243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jazz11c17,239$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.6835235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz9c15,353$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.734,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz11c14,579$1,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.41,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz14c13,844$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Jazz9c13,800$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.0483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4487…1ec1backed Jazz13c13,705$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.981729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…a2e8backed Jazz3c12,383$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.382015%3 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-61.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Jazz12c12,208$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4657850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz11c12,102$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.191,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Jazz12c11,829$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.4848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz0c10,541$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.948820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Jazz15c10,316$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.9246940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Jazz11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Jazz11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10027424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe65e…d9d0backed Jazz0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz11c9,560$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.591,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Jazz12c8,688$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.9415348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Jazz12c7,449$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.934740.4%19 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Jazz11c6,599$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.8814055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed Jazz12c6,056$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.86520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Jazz12c6,026$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.1324831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jazz0c5,500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Jazz12c5,500$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63535251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz11c5,114$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.512,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz10c5,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52061835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Jazz12c4,995$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017723.7%42 W · 135 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Jazz12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz13c3,874$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.272,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz12c3,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Jazz11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33061336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Jazz11c3,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz12c2,999$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.8750838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Jazz12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Jazz12c2,342$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.4739744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Jazz12c2,338$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.161,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6f8…a547backed Jazz12c2,036$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.311450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Jazz5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Jazz12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Jazz15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30042640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db3…f150backed Jazz11c1,800$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz10c1,786$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.731,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa022…22f1backed Jazz11c1,727$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19013639%53 W · 83 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Jazz12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014628.1%41 W · 105 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Jazz12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020728.5%59 W · 148 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jazz11c1,601$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.112,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Jazz13c1,591$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8833632.4%109 W · 227 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f83…8c23backed Jazz9c1,550$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1454320.9%9 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Jazz11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16517931.8%57 W · 122 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x085d…5302backed Jazz12c1,485$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.665337.7%20 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz12c1,360$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.64,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcab1…65babacked Jazz12c1,350$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+33.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jazz12c1,300$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15180737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Jazz16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015250.7%77 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz11c1,223$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.491,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Jazz2c1,201$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420826%54 W · 154 L-16.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Jazz10c1,200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2465542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb94…04f4backed Jazz10c1,200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12222633.2%75 W · 151 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b21…5cc4backed Jazz11c1,200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.981968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.25per pick43cpaid+47.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa79a…88d0backed Jazz11c1,164$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Jazz14c1,155$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1512143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b22…0516backed Jazz12c1,148$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Jazz11c1,144$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1333428.1%94 W · 240 L-20.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Jazz13c1,098$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7819135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x637e…c2b5backed Jazz5c1,075$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb57…c6d2backed Jazz11c1,059$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.51553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Jazz13c1,054$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.486931.9%22 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6281…ec82backed Jazz12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09e6…f84cbacked Jazz16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Jazz13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13040127.2%109 W · 292 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x867b…dbadbacked Jazz10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3135…26a0backed Jazz12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jazz11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Jazz10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043247.5%205 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Jazz6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d1d…4773backed Jazz12c969$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.288744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05dc…967ebacked Jazz8c966.19$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.823537.1%13 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b31…a143backed Jazz12c941.67$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Jazz11c924.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7548448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Jazz11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe25…df0abacked Jazz11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007128.2%20 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Jazz11c900$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910226.5%27 W · 75 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…0fa4backed Jazz11c885.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Jazz8c875$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7061957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e20…8e0ebacked Jazz15c860.67$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.15030%15 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf0…3156backed Jazz7c859.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.150338.4%193 W · 310 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Jazz14c843.59$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205129.4%15 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.