NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21a337420a581ce577233546f035c33fbb1f74112a4063a2c6d83e31476eb746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Spurs, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz | 50c | 21,318$10,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,659.21 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Spurs | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Spurs | 49c | 17,084$8,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,371.31 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…81aabacked Jazz | 51c | 15,098$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,398.04 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Spurs | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Spurs | 50c | 9,619$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.65 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Jazz | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcebc…41c7backed Jazz | 51c | 5,200$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b23…2693backed Jazz | 51c | 5,010$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbf…e6fdbacked Spurs | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Jazz | 50c | 4,751$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.72 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…5c87backed Spurs | 49c | 4,600$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Jazz | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Spurs | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7917…7e15backed Spurs | 49c | 3,945$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…7a4cbacked Jazz | 51c | 3,935$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Jazz | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b16…1b2cbacked Jazz | 51c | 3,525$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062e…6f5abacked Spurs | 49c | 3,363$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…fd27backed Spurs | 49c | 3,321$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 50c | 3,317$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…9c09backed Spurs | 49c | 3,131$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…cf7dbacked Jazz | 51c | 3,123$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…af75backed Spurs | 49c | 3,013$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…8ee6backed Spurs | 49c | 2,900$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc9…4965backed Spurs | 49c | 2,755$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…dd28backed Jazz | 51c | 2,723$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Jazz | 50c | 2,646$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…9c42backed Spurs | 49c | 2,551$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9848…03b6backed Jazz | 51c | 2,521$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Spurs | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.76 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…abd0backed Spurs | 49c | 2,403$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…0bdbbacked Jazz | 51c | 2,300$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,104$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.13 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…7961backed Jazz | 50c | 2,099$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…1172backed Spurs | 49c | 2,053$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…b40cbacked Spurs | 50c | 2,052$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.02 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Jazz | 50c | 2,013$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.48 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5240…75c4backed Jazz | 51c | 2,011$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…69c2backed Spurs | 50c | 2,008$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…f0c4backed Jazz | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +8.8wins | +0.29per pick | 47cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x002b…b7bcbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,998$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz | 51c | 1,950$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.8 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64c…d9bebacked Spurs | 49c | 1,902$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs | 41c | 1,776$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.06 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz | 49c | 1,772$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.95 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…1f9bbacked Jazz | 51c | 1,589$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…feabbacked Jazz | 51c | 1,525$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…ee57backed Jazz | 47c | 1,523$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b47…64cdbacked Jazz | 51c | 1,515$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Spurs | 49c | 1,459$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.09 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Jazz | 50c | 1,430$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Jazz | 49c | 1,406$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,311$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.17 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Spurs | 49c | 1,306$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.77 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Jazz | 49c | 1,256$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.59 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 45c | 1,209$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jazz | 42c | 1,208$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.63 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…87cabacked Jazz | 51c | 1,202$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Jazz | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.32 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…60e3backed Jazz | 51c | 1,121$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8a…b735backed Spurs | 50c | 1,103$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…587bbacked Jazz | 52c | 1,103$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…2d82backed Jazz | 51c | 1,044$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Jazz | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…4790backed Jazz | 51c | 999$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…8c31backed Jazz | 51c | 909$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d37…6a58backed Jazz | 51c | 855$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…7981backed Spurs | 49c | 853$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Jazz | 49c | 820$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.2 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…069abacked Jazz | 51c | 810$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…f3afbacked Jazz | 51c | 606$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c9…0dbdbacked Jazz | 51c | 555$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d5…59cebacked Spurs | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Spurs | 50c | 480$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…9cb5backed Jazz | 51c | 478$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Spurs | 50c | 476.57$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 75c | 390$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.17 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Spurs | 49c | 371.17$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.88 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Jazz | 51c | 337.13$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.96 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Spurs | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Jazz | 49c | 299.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Spurs | 54c | 287.06$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Jazz | 67c | 274$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Jazz | 51c | 252.57$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.68 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Spurs | 49c | 249.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…6515backed Jazz | 51c | 245$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Spurs | 48c | 239.77$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.13 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Jazz | 49c | 209$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Spurs | 51c | 204.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jazz | 36c | 200.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Jazz | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…f36dbacked Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…7d1dbacked Jazz | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Jazz | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…1eecbacked Jazz | 51c | 187$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Spurs | 41c | 175.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Isaiah Collier: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jazz vs. SpursSpurs won
- Jazz vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 241.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Jazz won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.