NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f4759831ebc6c61b534c674783737a8aaf0a3f869003ff4f0ece923df269014
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 13,769$7,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Over | 43c | 9,859$4,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.19 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 44c | 9,823$4,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,322.29 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 57c | 9,181$5,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.62 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 7,275$3,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,379.79 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 5,485$2,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 55c | 3,687$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.29 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 52c | 2,527$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.91 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 51c | 2,518$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.18 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Over | 53c | 2,251$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.23 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 57c | 2,039$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.77 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.97 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 43c | 1,667$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.64 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.09 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.92 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 899.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 710$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 57c | 509$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.87 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Over | 52c | 465$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 44c | 424.86$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.94 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 57c | 391.2$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.53 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 44c | 227.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 192.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Over | 46c | 190.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 176$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Under | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Under | 53c | 158.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 48c | 121.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 49c | 119.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Over | 48c | 116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Under | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 48c | 83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…9f2cbacked Under | 51c | 73.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Over | 49c | 72.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 48c | 64.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…0d3bbacked Under | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked Under | 51c | 54.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 47c | 50.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Over | 51c | 48.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Under | 57c | 45.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 57c | 42.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Under | 50c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 40.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Under | 55c | 39.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6e…da08backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…4571backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…70e0backed Under | 53c | 36.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Over | 44c | 31.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…223dbacked Under | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2c…0e63backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 54c | 21.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 241.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Isaiah Collier: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jazz vs. SpursSpurs won
- Jazz vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Jazz won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.