NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6458a51065dba29895b723ccb5769b2c5c0c0a8316d4816e3ec9450ebda38774
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Under | 53c | 30,000$15,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,173.53 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 14,406$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 9,328$4,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,312.78 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 48c | 1,928$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.34 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 1,921$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.03 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 44c | 1,571$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.52 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 45c | 1,450$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.5 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 1,087$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.72 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 47c | 894$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.18 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 50c | 844.02$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.05 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 704.85$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.12 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Over | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 50c | 579.92$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.32 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…ecf5backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Over | 45c | 424$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Over | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 272.41$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 50c | 266.41$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Over | 45c | 223.12$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 41c | 213.12$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…b402backed Under | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 47c | 159.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 157.89$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Under | 59c | 136.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Under | 71c | 94.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 84.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 65.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Under | 51c | 58.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…4284backed Under | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 47c | 50.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Over | 25c | 46.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Under | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…cdccbacked Under | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…24d2backed Under | 58c | 34.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 44c | 33.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 31.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8694…441cbacked Under | 52c | 31.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 39c | 28.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 57c | 26.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Under | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 55c | 22.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…3168backed Under | 62c | 21.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5this page
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Isaiah Collier: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jazz vs. SpursSpurs won
- Jazz vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 241.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Jazz won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.