TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Spurs: O/U 240.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$134,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,764 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Under53c44,015$23,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,872.1660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under54c23,137$12,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,701.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Over45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over45c15,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,749.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c11,789$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,609.583,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under55c6,965$3,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,134.852,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c5,068$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.875,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over48c4,942$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.122,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c4,661$2,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.312,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked Over45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over48c3,060$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46915141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c2,901$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.471,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Over45c2,670$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.2914061.4%86 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Under55c2,400$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0805658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c2,040$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Over44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8804052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Under56c1,997$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.6313357.9%77 W · 56 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under49c1,795$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.41,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over46c1,500$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.262,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under49c1,427$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.283,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb252…56febacked Over50c1,414$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7082254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over54c1,306$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70540451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c1,303$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over46c1,211$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55721247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,054$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over47c921.39$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.6633258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c907.23$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.184,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c894$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.182,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c820.19$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.147856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Over51c700$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35711137.8%42 W · 69 L-14.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c658.69$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.292,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under55c649$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.051,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Over8c576.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1535326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over45c502.22$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22667252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under55c440.88$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.41,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Under53c439.53$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.5541947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015543.2%67 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under46c414.21$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.673,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under50c401$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.52,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c400.98$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under50c399.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20049938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Under50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17528751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over51c322.27$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1641330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-49.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcd6…84cdbacked Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16a1…a8cfbacked Over39c275.26$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.951275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Over47c268.21$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.735650%28 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b87…f42dbacked Under52c265.71$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.637544%33 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over47c251.52$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2968940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over48c249.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4911650.9%59 W · 57 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017035.9%61 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036649.5%181 W · 185 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Over49c204.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0114647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Over50c201.88$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.942630.8%8 W · 18 L-6.8wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-48.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under57c198.49$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.111,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015650.6%79 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under59c168.53$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.147349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over51c160.01$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.666143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x561e…5670backed Under63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under49c144.37$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5219135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x725f…cea7backed Over46c144.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.359642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Over45c141.09$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.193834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661e…81d6backed Under49c140$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0315759.9%94 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3824backed Over51c118.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3915149.7%75 W · 76 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x874e…9bcabacked Over38c116.9$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over46c102$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.921,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd482…b402backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526634.8%23 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5416053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbc…5d23backed Under58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425149%25 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4542143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4e…1c13backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Over43c99.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4312947.3%61 W · 68 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked Under51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.995160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c3…f427backed Under53c83.76$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7311546.1%53 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under55c67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1543052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c48…7d6fbacked Under55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under68c59.82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.041,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3915…b03ebacked Under50c59.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.83148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under53c59.68$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0552246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under49c58.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6250347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ca…6725backed Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f31…e308backed Over45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe56a…9ef1backed Under55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.554963.3%31 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under49c50.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.637352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2352052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2547738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9b0…8bc6backed Over48c47.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.732313%3 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-72.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over48c46.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.314643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4d8…48b7backed Under56c46.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.435451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under54c45.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.143,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad48…4797backed Over45c45.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.322733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.