TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e20…8e0e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST5030%15 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+203%+$414.18
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$81.36
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+212.5%+$172.89
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$129.1
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$212.19
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$149.99
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+525%+$262.5
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$128.42
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$226.58
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+150%+$225
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Wizards vs. Clippersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+257.1%+$128.57
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$106.16
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$142
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$150.88
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$100
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$250
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$113.22
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$99.99
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+222.6%+$222.58
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: LNG Esports vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3)backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+149.6%+$224.44
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$150
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$174.86
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+75.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State Broncos vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+163.5%+$81.77
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. San Francisco Donsbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Maryland Terrapins vs. USC Trojansbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Air Force Falcons vs. San Jose State Spartansbacked Air Force Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.6
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$546.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+78%+$56.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$449.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.