Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. San Francisco Dons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d1ffafe312357283c505d0cd2fdf5d97e70c7daade890e5feb5740aafcfcb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Mary's Gaelsof Saint Mary's Gaels, San Francisco Dons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed San Francisco Dons | 21c | 27,725$5,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,705.74 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…7e93backed San Francisco Dons | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Dons | 2c | 7,421$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.36 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed San Francisco Dons | 10c | 5,526$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.89 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Francisco Dons | 5c | 3,926$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked San Francisco Dons | 1c | 2,932$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed San Francisco Dons | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked San Francisco Dons | 32c | 1,427$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.6 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 70c | 1,290$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.18 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed San Francisco Dons | 3c | 1,280$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked San Francisco Dons | 6c | 1,249$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Francisco Dons | 24c | 1,162$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.95 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked San Francisco Dons | 29c | 1,018$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked San Francisco Dons | 5c | 871.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Francisco Dons | 6c | 868.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed San Francisco Dons | 7c | 726.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed San Francisco Dons | 6c | 691.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…2163backed San Francisco Dons | 4c | 415.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 71c | 363.8$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 70c | 346.38$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed San Francisco Dons | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 72c | 285.17$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Francisco Dons | 11c | 280.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 69c | 258.28$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed San Francisco Dons | 20c | 238.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed San Francisco Dons | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 73c | 194.98$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed San Francisco Dons | 5c | 194.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd63b…9c25backed San Francisco Dons | 6c | 165.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed San Francisco Dons | 29c | 141.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…2427backed San Francisco Dons | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Dons | 28c | 131.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…8e0ebacked San Francisco Dons | 18c | 111.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf056…1f79backed San Francisco Dons | 13c | 107.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed San Francisco Dons | 14c | 99.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked San Francisco Dons | 17c | 82.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed San Francisco Dons | 28c | 58.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb800…e43abacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked San Francisco Dons | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…f4f7backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 71c | 42.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…3695backed San Francisco Dons | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked San Francisco Dons | 30c | 37.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked San Francisco Dons | 32c | 37.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 64c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 70c | 28.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…fa69backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 71c | 27.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc7…b89bbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 71c | 22.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 71c | 16.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…d85fbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 70c | 16.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.