TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x600b…3695

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST2718.5%5 W · 22 L-5.8wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-66.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.76
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.2%+$6.73
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.78
Spurs vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30.81
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25.7
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Suns vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.54
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.53
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$15.98
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35.52
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$13.83
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.84
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.82
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.92
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.83
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.14
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.09
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+124.5%+$26.61
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+72.1%+$9.22
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.19
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$26.9
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.67
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.88
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buffalo Bulls vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Buffalo Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.99
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. Little Rock Trojansbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
TCU Horned Frogs vs. BYU Cougarsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Duke Blue Devils vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$31.4
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21.31
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. SMU Mustangsbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.6
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+61.8%+$13.75
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.2%+$3.74
Iona Gaels vs. Rider Broncsbacked Rider Broncs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+121%+$21.9
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. San Francisco Donsbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$43.9
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$31.26
George Mason Patriots vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.34
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs. Norfolk State Spartansbacked Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+185.9%+$31.86
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Kingsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+138.1%+$14.5
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.05
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.56
Flyers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+165.6%+$28.06
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+112.8%+$12.72
Capitals vs. Avalanchebacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+107.9%+$14.01
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+161.6%+$35.21
Lightning vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+177.8%+$22.4
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+177.8%+$62.72
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+471.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+471.9%+$80.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify report between 715 million and 725 million monthly active users?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$42.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Six Seven" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.