NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf329b0e581c5a736fc24a910e3a84e339d28af26e8631c04dc8cfbc7b4a8f56a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Sharks, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,033,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,080,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,033,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Lightning | 73c | 518,994$377,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,682.44 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1222…2aa7backed Sharks | 28c | 285,746$79,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,340.6 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Sharks | 27c | 259,401$70,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,038.38 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Lightning | 72c | 99,999$72,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,999.83 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Lightning | 73c | 80,000$58,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Sharks | 27c | 79,604$21,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,447.01 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Sharks | 28c | 63,667$17,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,826.63 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Lightning | 73c | 40,000$29,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.94 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Lightning | 72c | 35,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Sharks | 26c | 28,621$7,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,448.63 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sharks | 27c | 25,900$6,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,993 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Lightning | 72c | 22,222$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222.16 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lightning | 73c | 15,344$11,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.11 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Lightning | 74c | 13,507$9,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.76 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks | 28c | 12,500$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lightning | 73c | 12,000$8,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Sharks | 27c | 11,616$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,136.41 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Sharks | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sharks | 28c | 9,244$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.32 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sharks | 28c | 9,000$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.99 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sharks | 28c | 8,929$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Sharks | 27c | 6,767$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.05 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Lightning | 76c | 6,190$4,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.05 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sharks | 5c | 5,705$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.54 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked Sharks | 24c | 4,602$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.13 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Sharks | 1c | 4,461$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Lightning | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Sharks | 27c | 4,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ada…8550backed Lightning | 73c | 3,200$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Lightning | 72c | 3,083$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.04 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.98 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Sharks | 27c | 2,593$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…2cafbacked Lightning | 73c | 2,575$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sharks | 27c | 2,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lightning | 73c | 2,435$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.45 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Lightning | 73c | 2,297$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.28 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sharks | 27c | 2,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Sharks | 27c | 2,200$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Lightning | 73c | 2,166$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.02 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Lightning | 73c | 2,153$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.84 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 70c | 2,054$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.97 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfa…5ce8backed Lightning | 73c | 2,052$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…c17fbacked Sharks | 30c | 2,000$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc034…59fbbacked Sharks | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Sharks | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Sharks | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.95 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Lightning | 80c | 1,962$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.54 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Sharks | 44c | 1,923$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.25 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sharks | 5c | 1,919$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Sharks | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…5dacbacked Sharks | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Lightning | 74c | 1,776$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.68 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Lightning | 72c | 1,646$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.88 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Lightning | 74c | 1,591$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.54 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 72c | 1,500$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lightning | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Sharks | 26c | 1,350$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.99 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…48fcbacked Sharks | 27c | 1,300$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Sharks | 27c | 1,300$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Sharks | 23c | 1,297$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 153 | 60.8%93 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lightning | 72c | 1,255$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.7 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lightning | 72c | 1,180$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.4 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Sharks | 27c | 1,100$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Sharks | 11c | 1,057$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.56 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Lightning | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sharks | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Lightning | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Sharks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Lightning | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks | 26c | 999.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…babebacked Sharks | 27c | 950$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Lightning | 74c | 936.07$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Sharks | 27c | 900$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Sharks | 33c | 899.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.12 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sharks | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd949…9924backed Lightning | 73c | 890.41$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797d…fcf6backed Sharks | 28c | 882.14$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x318f…fa0cbacked Sharks | 28c | 825$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lightning | 74c | 817.14$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.42 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Sharks | 27c | 791.36$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.69 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 18c | 763.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddf…eba4backed Sharks | 27c | 750$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Sharks | 27c | 740.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Sharks | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…09bfbacked Lightning | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…1c47backed Sharks | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lightning | 75c | 689.47$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Sharks | 31c | 679$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.79 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Sharks | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…dea1backed Sharks | 27c | 650$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sharks | 16c | 648.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.71 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 72c | 619.47$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.45 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks | 16c | 618.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bd…ba9cbacked Lightning | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Sharks | 27c | 546.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Sharks | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Lightning | 74c | 518.68$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lightning | 59c | 508.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.13 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 73c | 504.96$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.57 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Lightningthis page
- Sharks vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
- Spread: Lightning (-2.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.