Earnings · resolved market
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf44270ebe7eaa79485c11ae65d1bdc86a98b86cc48f6f933d0e5a4705adeb29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 78c | 4,595$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.22 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…8120backed No | 75c | 3,342$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.33 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 61c | 2,454$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.24 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 16c | 1,336$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.7 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…d607backed Yes | 20c | 1,287$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,077$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed Yes | 32c | 699.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 23c | 693.5$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 78c | 488.03$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.42 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c10…336cbacked Yes | 25c | 458.21$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed No | 47c | 445.25$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb905…1640backed Yes | 68c | 412.33$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…9483backed Yes | 25c | 402.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a50…9e46backed Yes | 21c | 400$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 66c | 398.19$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.35 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a7…9f02backed Yes | 28c | 362.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed Yes | 62c | 348.36$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 300.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62e…c19ebacked Yes | 26c | 288.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…e862backed Yes | 32c | 287.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 27c | 245$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 47c | 214.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…1241backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b0…02d2backed No | 76c | 199.98$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +300.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ab…5a73backed Yes | 26c | 194.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a1…c918backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…adcabacked Yes | 24c | 175.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 17c | 175$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…ce75backed Yes | 50c | 152$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 151.52$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffd5…32f8backed Yes | 41c | 148.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda95…0fc9backed No | 14c | 142.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…bb1bbacked Yes | 45c | 134.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 23c | 127.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x464a…4aa5backed Yes | 32c | 125.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +167.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…4651backed Yes | 21c | 124.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…dd7cbacked Yes | 28c | 123.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 31c | 115.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77dd…fc49backed No | 31c | 114.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.31per pick | 14cpaid | +265%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Yes | 23c | 109.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…a303backed Yes | 75c | 100.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…acdabacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb71…d3cebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…6082backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d21…df94backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ae…ae32backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 107 | 21.5%23 W · 84 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…4b2ebacked No | 61c | 94.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked Yes | 30c | 87.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 28c | 82.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…a1a4backed Yes | 55c | 78.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 31c | 77.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a11…09b6backed Yes | 36c | 76.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…1d49backed Yes | 27c | 74.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…e91ebacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 25c | 70.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x251e…ec23backed Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…9f52backed Yes | 25c | 63.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed No | 77c | 58.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…3695backed Yes | 37c | 53.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…afbebacked Yes | 35c | 53.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…ca6cbacked Yes | 79c | 52.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…9d67backed Yes | 29c | 51.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 38c | 51.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 45c | 49.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878d…1a9bbacked Yes | 73c | 47.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c34…e3d8backed No | 75c | 46.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…dc00backed Yes | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked No | 47c | 42.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bf…d1f4backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…6dd5backed No | 74c | 33.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed No | 66c | 33.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…bd9fbacked No | 63c | 31.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…74dcbacked No | 67c | 29.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…8306backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…a8cbbacked Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Yes | 68c | 24.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 45c | 22.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbc…76f6backed No | 65c | 22.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199d…c3c9backed No | 78c | 22.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb25a…f391backed No | 79c | 21.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…4fb2backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d8…ff41backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…db78backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.