NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6056cf2ff996ec64be932be8cc7fa51dc3f857acf1fc525cb50414936faf6fc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Heat, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,819,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,914,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,819,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Heat | 36c | 140,000$50,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,399.99 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Heat | 35c | 120,494$42,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,373.03 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Heat | 36c | 69,444$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,999.77 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors | 67c | 64,532$43,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,003.79 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Warriors | 65c | 60,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,999.9 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 65c | 46,593$30,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,328.95 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Heat | 37c | 35,000$12,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,950 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Warriors | 65c | 30,783$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,783.01 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Heat | 35c | 29,000$10,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,019.99 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Warriors | 64c | 27,794$17,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,005.73 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Warriors | 63c | 27,500$17,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,174.99 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Warriors | 68c | 25,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000.35 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Heat | 22c | 24,941$5,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.8 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked Heat | 36c | 22,484$8,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,094.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 72c | 22,412$16,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,377.68 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…a442backed Warriors | 70c | 20,036$14,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,004 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Warriors | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 63c | 18,741$11,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,934.29 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 72c | 16,406$11,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Warriors | 72c | 15,784$11,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,449.97 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Heat | 10c | 15,599$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.6 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Heat | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Warriors | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Heat | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 72c | 14,980$10,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,244.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Warriors | 66c | 14,053$9,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.98 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Heat | 32c | 12,985$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,156.31 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heat | 19c | 12,651$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.46 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Heat | 36c | 11,867$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.35 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Heat | 38c | 11,691$4,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,461.87 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 64c | 11,568$7,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Warriors | 64c | 11,000$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebf…e50fbacked Heat | 36c | 10,852$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.34 | 651 | 44.5%290 W · 361 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 68c | 10,591$7,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.03 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Heat | 31c | 10,218$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Heat | 16c | 10,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.53 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Heat | 34c | 9,957$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.5 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…c89cbacked Heat | 36c | 9,501$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Heat | 31c | 9,229$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.1 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Heat | 35c | 9,009$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.15 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Heat | 34c | 9,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.94 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Heat | 26c | 8,755$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.91 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Heat | 35c | 8,624$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,018.4 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Warriors | 64c | 8,000$5,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ce…d5f9backed Warriors | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Heat | 34c | 8,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.94 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Warriors | 66c | 7,505$4,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Heat | 13c | 7,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Warriors | 64c | 7,296$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.42 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Warriors | 76c | 7,233$5,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.86 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Heat | 0c | 7,100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Heat | 36c | 7,071$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.75 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Warriors | 67c | 7,027$4,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.16 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…d1e3backed Warriors | 75c | 7,020$5,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.42 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Warriors | 66c | 6,946$4,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.64 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Heat | 35c | 6,786$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -10.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Warriors | 65c | 6,750$4,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.53 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Warriors | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Heat | 16c | 6,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…1adbbacked Heat | 33c | 5,958$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 64c | 5,870$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.2 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Heat | 36c | 5,860$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Warriors | 63c | 5,660$3,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.18 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Heat | 35c | 5,641$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.35 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Warriors | 66c | 5,628$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.69 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec9…8d0bbacked Warriors | 72c | 5,529$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Heat | 23c | 5,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.98 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Heat | 32c | 5,313$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 32c | 5,100$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Warriors | 64c | 5,038$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.4 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Heat | 1c | 5,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Warriors | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Heat | 31c | 4,889$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Warriors | 64c | 4,873$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.28 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 75c | 4,723$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.66 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Heat | 35c | 4,694$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.02 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Warriors | 65c | 4,633$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.94 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Warriors | 64c | 4,480$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.77 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…74dbbacked Heat | 34c | 4,441$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Warriors | 63c | 4,437$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.84 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Heat | 37c | 4,203$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Warriors | 64c | 4,016$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.63 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Warriors | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.95 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Warriors | 64c | 3,785$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.4 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Heat | 33c | 3,650$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.97 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Heat | 20c | 3,528$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Warriors | 66c | 3,490$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.5 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Heat | 21c | 3,453$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.51 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…1e99backed Heat | 29c | 3,450$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 30c | 3,297$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.35 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Warriors | 68c | 3,250$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.6 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Heat | 30c | 3,250$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.5 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…e300backed Heat | 38c | 3,183$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 64c | 3,145$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.55 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Heat | 30c | 3,040$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.98 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Heat | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Warriorsthis page
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Heat vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 238.5Over won
- Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 27.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.