NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7120b74b564de6ef8a9a272b5c8640748b45797e5a33d99d14ad2c3f8785a6b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Over | 52c | 30,000$15,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,278.62 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 51c | 17,776$9,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,060.47 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 16,196$7,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,833.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 12,255$6,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,164.21 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over | 53c | 6,152$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.29 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 4,741$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.07 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 54c | 3,015$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.89 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 2,938$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 2,774$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.26 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 2,295$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.45 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 2,073$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 1,988$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 47c | 1,894$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 50c | 1,863$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.5 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 1,513$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.56 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 47c | 1,471$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.37 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 51c | 1,280$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.8 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 48c | 1,135$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.55 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 50c | 1,021$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.13 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 51c | 987.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.36 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 914.77$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.09 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 23c | 729.23$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.86 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 499.65$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.55 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Under | 45c | 468$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 438$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.24 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Under | 47c | 420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 53c | 416.23$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.27 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 349$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.03 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Under | 48c | 326.91$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.92 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 49c | 219.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 214.68$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Under | 49c | 205.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 20c | 200.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Over | 50c | 198.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Under | 51c | 170.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 79c | 166.05$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 51c | 147.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 47c | 134.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 47c | 131.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Under | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Under | 48c | 125.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7917backed Under | 52c | 115.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Under | 17c | 106.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 51c | 103.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…77eabacked Under | 14c | 102.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 47c | 101.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b86…7899backed Under | 49c | 101.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2d…5addbacked Under | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Under | 51c | 86.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 85.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Under | 51c | 84.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…9555backed Under | 48c | 83.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 71c | 77.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 48c | 77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Over | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Over | 49c | 73.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 71.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 50c | 56.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 51c | 54.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…e308backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 47c | 46.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…4cc6backed Under | 49c | 41.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 46c | 37.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -12.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…4954backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbc…3adabacked Over | 57c | 35.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Under | 51c | 33.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Under | 52c | 32.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 51c | 30.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…50acbacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 52c | 29.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked Under | 52c | 28.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Over | 51c | 27.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…199dbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 48c | 22.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 50c | 21.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Under | 49c | 21.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 238.5this page
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Heat vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Heat vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 27.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.