NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb573e0f5352f926f1764afb729b4faf4a665994349c1957b9dd5e9c601e15af9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Warriors | 52c | 9,967$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,784.14 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Heat | 48c | 7,515$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f8…b76fbacked Warriors | 51c | 6,524$3,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.92 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…81aabacked Heat | 50c | 6,400$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Warriors | 47c | 5,318$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,818.45 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Warriors | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Heat | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Heat | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 51c | 3,995$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.01 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Warriors | 49c | 3,898$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.21 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heat | 48c | 3,794$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…f0ecbacked Heat | 49c | 3,024$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Heat | 53c | 2,592$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.94 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 48c | 2,167$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Heat | 50c | 2,041$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Warriors | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.17 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Heat | 52c | 1,911$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Warriors | 54c | 1,909$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.19 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Heat | 53c | 1,781$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Heat | 58c | 1,720$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.35 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Heat | 48c | 1,683$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,666$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.2 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Warriors | 52c | 1,592$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.12 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 46c | 1,564$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Heat | 52c | 1,550$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 49c | 1,480$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.22 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,408$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Heat | 51c | 1,254$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.18 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 48c | 1,221$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.92 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Heat | 53c | 907.23$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.83 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Heat | 52c | 900.42$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.22 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a9…1e87backed Heat | 50c | 885$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Heat | 53c | 843.82$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Heat | 40c | 649$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.55 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 48c | 515$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.8 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Heat | 48c | 508$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.84 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Warriors | 52c | 505.69$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.25 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…87aebacked Heat | 48c | 502.02$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a2e8backed Heat | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Heat | 52c | 461$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.72 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Warriors | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Heat | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…19b6backed Warriors | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Warriors | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…175fbacked Heat | 51c | 389.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Heat | 48c | 351.52$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.73 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Warriors | 49c | 308.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…6fe7backed Warriors | 50c | 305$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Heat | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Heat | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a63…3778backed Warriors | 50c | 299$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Heat | 49c | 283.67$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…2d3cbacked Warriors | 50c | 281$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Heat | 52c | 279.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Warriors | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Warriors | 49c | 263$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Warriors | 43c | 234$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.23 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Warriors | 51c | 206.18$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Heat | 53c | 200.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…3290backed Heat | 48c | 199$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Heat | 57c | 185.91$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.97 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Heat | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Warriors | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Heat | 48c | 157.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Heat | 52c | 141.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Heat | 52c | 125.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Heat | 49c | 113.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Heat | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 184 | 56%103 W · 81 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Heat | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…8473backed Warriors | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Heat | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Heat | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…4ebcbacked Warriors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Warriors | 51c | 97.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Heat | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Warriors | 48c | 93.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Heat | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Heat | 52c | 85.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 46c | 82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…196ebacked Heat | 52c | 77.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Heat | 53c | 75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Warriors | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 50c | 72.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Heat | 57c | 71.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Warriors | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Warriors | 54c | 62.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Heat | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Heat | 50c | 54.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Warriors | 51c | 50.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Heat | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Heat | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Heat | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Heat | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -21.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Warriors | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Warriors | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 48c | 49.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c8…7ea8backed Heat | 48c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)this page
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Heat vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Heat vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 238.5Over won
- Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 27.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.