NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5afaf95d935dd20fba8940a3b7da966c8969bef6fb649d48f99e770003b2f6c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $428,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $535,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 137,682$68,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,840.98 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Over | 51c | 105,915$54,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,898.34 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Under | 50c | 93,487$46,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,763.55 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 88,921$43,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,571.47 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 30,000$14,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,850 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 50c | 9,028$4,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,513.84 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 7,382$3,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,866.62 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 7,347$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 6,200$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 4,999$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.7 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 3,316$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…bebdbacked Over | 51c | 2,939$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.08 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 54c | 2,894$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.53 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 2,524$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.35 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 50c | 2,455$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 2,414$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 2,410$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 2,110$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 2,049$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.65 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Over | 48c | 1,910$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.2 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c74…b42ebacked Over | 51c | 1,673$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 51c | 1,224$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 49c | 1,169$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.02 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 16c | 988.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.55 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 52c | 950.77$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.4 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 901.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.96 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb9…6df0backed Under | 50c | 890.11$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Under | 49c | 854.29$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.6 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…4c9dbacked Under | 56c | 747.61$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.03 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 42c | 548.94$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.89 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 48c | 510$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Under | 49c | 457.73$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.29 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 51c | 411.76$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 9c | 323.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 79c | 310$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 38c | 302.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.14 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…bd40backed Under | 50c | 286.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Over | 51c | 265.45$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.07 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 50c | 239.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 5c | 225.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 49c | 211$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Under | 49c | 202.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Over | 71c | 199.97$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 21c | 180$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Under | 58c | 179.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 49c | 165$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Under | 49c | 149.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Under | 51c | 129.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 45c | 125.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae9…9b08backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…77eabacked Under | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Under | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…74b7backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…4375backed Under | 54c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Under | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Under | 29c | 68.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 50c | 67.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Under | 51c | 66.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Under | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…c672backed Under | 50c | 58.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 75c | 57.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Over | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…1f8bbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 239.5this page
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Heat vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Heat vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 238.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 27.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.