NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb49b1ba80788e9ae8d8453a93c23f9199283f0d99eb33044fe621c087dc9d8d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Heat | 58c | 15,231$8,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,863.04 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 45c | 11,988$5,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,595.04 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Heat | 56c | 11,747$6,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,549.33 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 43c | 10,323$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,881.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Heat | 55c | 10,136$5,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,574.8 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 44c | 6,844$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,852.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 42c | 3,727$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.74 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 49c | 3,366$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730.79 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 45c | 3,312$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 49c | 3,052$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.45 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Warriors | 51c | 3,009$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.75 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Heat | 53c | 2,900$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 44c | 2,349$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.87 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 44c | 1,344$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.44 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Warriors | 44c | 1,310$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.47 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Warriors | 52c | 1,155$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.64 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Heat | 57c | 1,127$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.38 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Heat | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.67 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Warriors | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed Warriors | 47c | 1,011$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.31 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Warriors | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Heat | 49c | 826.28$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.92 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Warriors | 42c | 655.32$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.09 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 44c | 653.98$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.23 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Heat | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Warriors | 46c | 545.83$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.75 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Heat | 53c | 540$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 324 | 55.9%181 W · 143 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Heat | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Warriors | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Heat | 64c | 497.73$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.19 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Heat | 56c | 492.08$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.56 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 44c | 411.06$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.06 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heat | 53c | 380.33$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Heat | 60c | 378.84$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.2 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Warriors | 43c | 372.09$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Heat | 53c | 352.75$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.43 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…aeccbacked Heat | 57c | 352.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.52 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Heat | 63c | 350.79$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Heat | 58c | 345.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Warriors | 44c | 330$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.34 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Heat | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Heat | 57c | 281$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.17 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 40c | 270.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.69 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Warriors | 50c | 256$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…d581backed Warriors | 45c | 255.92$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Heat | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Heat | 57c | 233.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Warriors | 49c | 231.23$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Warriors | 51c | 208$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Heat | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 44c | 199.71$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Warriors | 80c | 184.18$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Warriors | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Heat | 59c | 177.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 168 | 53%89 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Heat | 58c | 171.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Heat | 57c | 154.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…107fbacked Heat | 52c | 153.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Warriors | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Heat | 55c | 146.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Warriors | 46c | 141.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Warriors | 43c | 133.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Warriors | 76c | 131.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Heat | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Heat | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 43c | 124$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Heat | 56c | 118.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Heat | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e25…519ebacked Heat | 52c | 113.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Warriors | 52c | 109.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Heat | 52c | 109.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Heat | 57c | 102.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46df…b057backed Heat | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Heat | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 232 | 46.1%107 W · 125 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Heat | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 301 | 32.6%98 W · 203 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Heat | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Heat | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Heat | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Warriors | 42c | 95.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Heat | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat | 25c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Heat | 60c | 83.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Heat | 61c | 82.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Warriors | 46c | 79.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Warriors | 43c | 76.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Warriors | 50c | 67.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Warriors | 47c | 65.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Heat | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Heat | 53c | 61.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Heat | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Heat | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Warriors | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heat | 47c | 48.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Heat | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe637…42bdbacked Heat | 53c | 46.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Heat | 56c | 44.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Warriors | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Warriors | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 230 | 51.3%118 W · 112 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70c…3da8backed Heat | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Warriors | 46c | 38.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Warriors | 49c | 37.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)this page
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Draymond Green: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Heat vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Heat vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5Over won
- Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 238.5Over won
- Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 27.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.