TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35f3…94fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5261.5%32 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+158.1%+$79.03
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
France vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$18.1
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$79.1
Kings vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+90.3%+$16.15
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$77.08
Kings vs. 76ersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$40.96
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$54.57
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+118.2%+$97.75
Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.06
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+83.3%+$52.5
Kings vs. Knicksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.13
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+86.9%+$73.82
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+82.7%+$47.2
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+170.3%+$432.38
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$59.58
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+89.1%+$67.57
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+87.8%+$44.38
Thunder vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$59.56
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50.84
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$41.07
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$66.79
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$289.48
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$86.71
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+83.3%+$69.41
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+45.8%+$261.51
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Allan Nascimento · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luana Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
UFC Fight Night: Leon Shahbazyan vs. Levan Chokheli (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Levan Chokheli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Shane Collins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$25.26
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+67%+$137.37
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$273.1
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Elekana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+50.1%+$166.7
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,222
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$738.81
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.48
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$2,436.2
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$132.14
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$675.62
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$54.03
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$408.06
Spread: Broncos (-11.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$61.12
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$71.95
Lions vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$39.7
Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+108.3%+$30.1
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+273%+$409.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Krakenbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$275.36
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+84.3%+$102
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+113.1%+$60.55
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.43
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$148.42
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$137.42
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 7 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+90.8%+$9.73
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+41.8%+$13.47
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,325.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $150 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25.2%+$15.4
Will Solana dip to $120 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs Endless Journey (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stagebacked Aurora Young Blood · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+76.3%+$10.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+73%+$27.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+39.8%+$58.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wofford Terriers vs. Chattanooga Mocs: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.