UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13dc5422ef4fc7462082522d56130eb559965fe35052a9dfe2565a111f1886ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luana Santosof Karol Rosa, Luana Santos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $509,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $519,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $509,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Karol Rosa | 49c | 289,583$143,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143,009.4 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Luana Santos | 51c | 156,000$79,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,440 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Luana Santos | 55c | 88,421$48,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,010.84 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Karol Rosa | 51c | 79,573$40,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,262.11 | 203 | 48.3%98 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Luana Santos | 49c | 66,827$32,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,858.27 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Luana Santos | 50c | 24,563$12,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,281.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Luana Santos | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Karol Rosa | 50c | 19,361$9,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,680.5 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luana Santos | 51c | 18,140$9,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,946.36 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Karol Rosa | 46c | 15,000$6,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,949.99 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Luana Santos | 47c | 14,785$6,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,835.98 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…20d1backed Karol Rosa | 53c | 9,430$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.9 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Luana Santos | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…d3eabacked Luana Santos | 49c | 6,120$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.09 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Karol Rosa | 53c | 5,278$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.56 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Luana Santos | 67c | 4,973$3,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.51 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Luana Santos | 50c | 4,116$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.07 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Luana Santos | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Karol Rosa | 51c | 3,812$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.26 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Karol Rosa | 50c | 3,474$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.12 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Luana Santos | 54c | 3,241$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.8 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Luana Santos | 64c | 3,103$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.47 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Luana Santos | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Luana Santos | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Luana Santos | 49c | 2,640$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Luana Santos | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Luana Santos | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Karol Rosa | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Karol Rosa | 49c | 1,911$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.26 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…b287backed Luana Santos | 51c | 1,811$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Karol Rosa | 52c | 1,800$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.99 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Karol Rosa | 29c | 1,624$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Luana Santos | 50c | 1,586$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Luana Santos | 50c | 1,283$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.73 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Karol Rosa | 50c | 1,233$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.26 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ef…f31ebacked Luana Santos | 54c | 1,223$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Luana Santos | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Luana Santos | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Karol Rosa | 50c | 1,153$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.52 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Karol Rosa | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Karol Rosa | 6c | 1,099$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Karol Rosa | 2c | 1,076$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…f4dfbacked Luana Santos | 48c | 1,045$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Karol Rosa | 41c | 1,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Luana Santos | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Luana Santos | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Karol Rosa | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…9cb2backed Luana Santos | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Luana Santos | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Karol Rosa | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Luana Santos | 48c | 977.65$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.36 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Luana Santos | 59c | 912$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.42 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Karol Rosa | 25c | 909.36$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Karol Rosa | 50c | 895.9$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.95 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Karol Rosa | 10c | 895$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Luana Santos | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Karol Rosa | 46c | 753.64$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.68 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Luana Santos | 60c | 687.91$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.58 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Karol Rosa | 50c | 650$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Luana Santos | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Luana Santos | 55c | 602.19$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Karol Rosa | 51c | 588.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Karol Rosa | 52c | 588$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Luana Santos | 60c | 534$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.98 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Karol Rosa | 51c | 501.96$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Karol Rosa | 41c | 500$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.57 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Karol Rosa | 6c | 493.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Luana Santos | 51c | 454.77$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…d123backed Karol Rosa | 50c | 453$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.5 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Karol Rosa | 48c | 449.33$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.72 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Karol Rosa | 50c | 445.85$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.93 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Luana Santos | 74c | 435.1$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.1 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…295abacked Karol Rosa | 51c | 423.82$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Luana Santos | 50c | 414$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Karol Rosa | 52c | 401$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.52 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a8…4287backed Karol Rosa | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…5067backed Karol Rosa | 49c | 399.85$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.93 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Luana Santos | 71c | 396.9$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.87 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…e968backed Karol Rosa | 54c | 385.39$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Luana Santos | 58c | 384.72$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Luana Santos | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Karol Rosa | 53c | 380.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Karol Rosa | 51c | 374.79$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.15 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Luana Santos | 54c | 351.63$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.75 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Luana Santos | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Karol Rosa | 61c | 348.47$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.94 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa851…4dedbacked Luana Santos | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Luana Santos | 59c | 336.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Luana Santos | 49c | 312.79$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7486…4247backed Karol Rosa | 51c | 312.75$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Karol Rosa | 49c | 312.24$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…b769backed Karol Rosa | 51c | 311.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680f…207fbacked Luana Santos | 50c | 310.88$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…45bbbacked Luana Santos | 50c | 310.88$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Luana Santos | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Luana Santos | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Luana Santos | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Karol Rosa | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…23c9backed Karol Rosa | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…aab9backed Luana Santos | 50c | 297.28$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.