TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x93a8…4287

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT4151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$93.67
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT2864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$52.81
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$76.86
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$50.63
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$62.86
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$53.33
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$50.69
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$51.15
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$84.3
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Manel Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$177.1
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Christian Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$101.18
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Karol Rosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$416
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$131.19
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$215.07
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$81.25
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$74.05
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Joanderson Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$74.71
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+136.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+298.3%+$477.34
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+326.8%+$552.3
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$184.76
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+191.2%+$210.27
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$93.74
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$67.25
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.