MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa68e2679a5af4a16447fc7a35c82dbaa8021f3c20836ebe716a4395f378ef6c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof New York Yankees, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 50c | 27,745$13,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,769.35 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 13,025$6,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,847.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed New York Yankees | 55c | 10,165$5,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,588.85 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 9,808$5,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.32 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed New York Yankees | 51c | 8,405$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 8,038$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,968.68 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 7,843$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.79 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 6,776$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.05 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 38c | 6,487$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 5,949$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,974.3 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 5,934$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.72 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Yankees | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 4,829$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.48 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 49c | 4,315$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.19 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 3,189$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.42 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 2,286$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.1 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked New York Yankees | 50c | 2,062$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Yankees | 49c | 1,129$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.21 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,062$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,015$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.71 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 840$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 528.27$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.13 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees | 49c | 473$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.77 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc679…facdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 408$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 376$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 372.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.22 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed New York Yankees | 49c | 355$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 312$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed New York Yankees | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked New York Yankees | 39c | 291.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.27 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked New York Yankees | 46c | 272.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 240.66$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.77 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed New York Yankees | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 240$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed New York Yankees | 49c | 206.2$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.02 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 200.33$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked New York Yankees | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed New York Yankees | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked New York Yankees | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5871…0defbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 153.28$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…1c23backed New York Yankees | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed New York Yankees | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 100.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a8…4287backed New York Yankees | 50c | 95.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 90.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed New York Yankees | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 77.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…2d8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 56.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed New York Yankees | 49c | 50.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed New York Yankees | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 49.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 51c | 45.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed New York Yankees | 48c | 41.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 443 | 45.6%202 W · 241 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb7…4a53backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 41.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed New York Yankees | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 34.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 30.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked New York Yankees | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…a024backed New York Yankees | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked New York Yankees | 51c | 28.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 28.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 28.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 28.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 48c | 26.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 25.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 197 | 59.9%118 W · 79 L | +21.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed New York Yankees | 44c | 25.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -31.9wins | -0.31per pick | 40cpaid | -82%equal weight | 22-0.25 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed New York Yankees | 53c | 21.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb224…dfa6backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…89acbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York YankeesCincinnati Reds won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.