TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cincinnati Redsof New York Yankees, Cincinnati Reds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,931

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,460 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees50c27,745$13,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,769.354,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds47c13,025$6,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,847.710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed New York Yankees55c10,165$5,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,588.8548451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Cincinnati Reds58c9,808$5,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,152.329250%46 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed New York Yankees51c8,405$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30023255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Cincinnati Reds51c8,038$4,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,968.688633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds47c7,843$3,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,131.7911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Cincinnati Reds51c6,776$3,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,320.0523538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees38c6,487$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.1712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Cincinnati Reds50c5,949$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.319546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Cincinnati Reds51c5,934$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,907.7229147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed New York Yankees50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds51c4,829$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,369.482,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees49c4,315$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.193,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked New York Yankees49c3,189$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.4244749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds50c2,286$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.16,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked New York Yankees50c2,062$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0315050%25 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed New York Yankees49c1,129$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.2192054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds50c1,062$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.981,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds56c1,015$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.718,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds51c840$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.82,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds50c528.27$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.134,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Cincinnati Reds51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24569351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees49c473$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.772,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc679…facdbacked Cincinnati Reds51c408$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cincinnati Reds50c376$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18859549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Cincinnati Reds54c372.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.227356.2%41 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed New York Yankees49c355$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.857557.3%43 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds63c312$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.95,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed New York Yankees49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14758652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked New York Yankees39c291.02$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.271,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked New York Yankees46c272.22$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2299624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds58c240.66$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.773,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed New York Yankees50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12094549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Cincinnati Reds50c240$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.173849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed New York Yankees49c206.2$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0251545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds74c200.33$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.022,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked New York Yankees50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Cincinnati Reds51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Cincinnati Reds50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014549%71 W · 74 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e4a…5ba6backed New York Yankees49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9811542.6%49 W · 66 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Cincinnati Reds52c192.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.365248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked New York Yankees49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.219335.8%69 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5871…0defbacked New York Yankees47c153.28$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.043050%15 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Cincinnati Reds50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.551,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5511…1c23backed New York Yankees48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed New York Yankees49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508046.3%37 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Cincinnati Reds51c100.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.262,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a8…4287backed New York Yankees50c95.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.994151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Cincinnati Reds44c90.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.954651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed New York Yankees50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4546854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4572154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds51c77.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.362,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Cincinnati Reds73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4929656.1%166 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Cincinnati Reds50c65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.57343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4efc…2d8dbacked Cincinnati Reds51c56.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.681338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked New York Yankees48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed New York Yankees49c50.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.535248%169 W · 183 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Cincinnati Reds50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Cincinnati Reds54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2385949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed New York Yankees48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2481651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Cincinnati Reds62c49.59$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.872,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees51c45.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.962,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed New York Yankees48c41.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044345.6%202 W · 241 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb7…4a53backed Cincinnati Reds51c41.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed New York Yankees50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027644.9%124 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Cincinnati Reds51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2229747.1%140 W · 157 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Cincinnati Reds52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2839250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Cincinnati Reds50c34.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8834846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Cincinnati Reds50c30.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.082,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked New York Yankees50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159146.2%42 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd687…a024backed New York Yankees52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156063.3%38 W · 22 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e0f…2deebacked New York Yankees51c28.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.617952%93 W · 86 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Cincinnati Reds54c28.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2153644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43a8…d77fbacked Cincinnati Reds46c28.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4614259.2%84 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74df…2b11backed Cincinnati Reds52c28.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.718050%40 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees48c26.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.899,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c25…6bbcbacked Cincinnati Reds59c25.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5219759.9%118 W · 79 L+21.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6de2…d0e5backed New York Yankees44c25.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.161028.8%9 W · 93 L-31.9wins-0.31per pick40cpaid-82%equal weight22-0.25 edge/pick
0x67bc…3503backed New York Yankees53c21.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.235757.9%33 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Cincinnati Reds74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.271850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb224…dfa6backed Cincinnati Reds50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89ab…89acbacked New York Yankees50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds70c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.84,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.