MLB · resolved market

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf82be61c1d7181c99b6454afcbb188e0abcba20b91de49ffa93097ff9db13cf

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, New York Yankees
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,381,099
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,384,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,381,099 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2643…39aebacked New York Yankees	66c	1,047,287$690,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690,910.37	67	58.2%39 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dd…f662backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	600,000$204,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395,999.83	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds	35c	130,750$45,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85,221.21	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eaf…a3a1backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	70,144$23,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,996.23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Cincinnati Reds	35c	48,188$16,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,469.4	291	47.1%137 W · 154 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Cincinnati Reds	34c	36,553$12,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,124.98	63	57.1%36 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	33,486$11,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,995.26	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	30,000$10,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,799.99	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+138.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds	34c	30,000$10,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,799.98	770	53.9%415 W · 355 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds	48c	28,137$13,642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,494.98	11,356	52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L	+209.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	27,683$9,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,270.93	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds	37c	26,810$10,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,780.39	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed New York Yankees	51c	25,823$13,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,177.47	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds	41c	15,494$6,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,145.35	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds	35c	12,767$4,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,298.52	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees	66c	11,783$7,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,777	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	10,539$3,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,040.74	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	10,000$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,700	1,292	50.2%648 W · 644 L	+18.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds	35c	9,839$3,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,444.23	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	9,526$4,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,353.85	400	43%172 W · 228 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	8,500$2,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,650	5,400	50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L	+17.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees	53c	7,793$4,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,110.93	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed New York Yankees	66c	6,061$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	123	42.3%52 W · 71 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked Cincinnati Reds	33c	5,705$1,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,822.35	216	44.9%97 W · 119 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3a…e761backed New York Yankees	53c	5,660$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	5,587$1,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,743.15	491	58.9%289 W · 202 L	+30.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds	33c	5,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,350	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed New York Yankees	59c	4,936$2,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,912.03	232	55.6%129 W · 103 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef7b…6c88backed Cincinnati Reds	36c	4,324$1,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,767.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Cincinnati Reds	35c	3,124$1,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,030.44	92	50%46 W · 46 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed New York Yankees	66c	3,030$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	74	60.8%45 W · 29 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	3,030$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,030.3	776	47.4%368 W · 408 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	3,000$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,010	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees	64c	2,972$1,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,907.56	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees	13c	2,767$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.72	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees	57c	2,725$1,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,559.46	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	2,360$813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,546.7	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds	35c	2,350$816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,534.22	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees	57c	2,338$1,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,321.98	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed New York Yankees	12c	2,281$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.24	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed New York Yankees	1c	2,269$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.85	585	2.1%12 W · 573 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed New York Yankees	61c	2,120$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	222	57.2%127 W · 95 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	2,090$717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,373.26	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	2,000$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,320	432	53.9%233 W · 199 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed New York Yankees	66c	2,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	398	46.5%185 W · 213 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed New York Yankees	61c	1,981$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds	51c	1,912$972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940.24	5,126	54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L	+231.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed New York Yankees	66c	1,894$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	407	53.6%218 W · 189 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed New York Yankees	65c	1,777$1,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,151.51	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	1,668$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100.57	4,477	48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L	-47.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edc…ea1dbacked New York Yankees	27c	1,547$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	+77.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	1,522$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,004.78	273	51.3%140 W · 133 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed New York Yankees	66c	1,515$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	233	57.9%135 W · 98 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked New York Yankees	66c	1,515$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed New York Yankees	66c	1,515$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.9	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed New York Yankees	66c	1,511$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990.45	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	1,466$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$982.13	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+6.2wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed New York Yankees	63c	1,453$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.65	920	46%423 W · 497 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees	73c	1,416$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,027.32	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds	70c	1,354$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.88	1,113	49%545 W · 568 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Cincinnati Reds	49c	1,294$629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.33	777	52.1%405 W · 372 L	+36.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds	34c	1,250$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$825	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked New York Yankees	17c	1,176$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	111	29.7%33 W · 78 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	1,100$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$734	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Cincinnati Reds	56c	1,064$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.51	945	55.2%522 W · 423 L	+31.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees	66c	1,039$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.02	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked New York Yankees	65c	1,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds	33c	1,000$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$670	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked New York Yankees	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	140	50.7%71 W · 69 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed Cincinnati Reds	34c	1,000$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660	244	48.4%118 W · 126 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Cincinnati Reds	34c	999.99$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.99	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed Cincinnati Reds	26c	994.67$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.05	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+2.7wins	+0.22per pick	11cpaid	+91.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed New York Yankees	12c	922.62$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.1	970	50.7%492 W · 478 L	+13.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds	22c	915.59$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.16	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb60…137abacked New York Yankees	66c	909.09$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	94	35.1%33 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2afc…23c9backed New York Yankees	62c	900$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked New York Yankees	65c	891.34$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.37	277	51.3%142 W · 135 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees	58c	888.51$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.41	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Cincinnati Reds	35c	853.74$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.93	575	48%276 W · 299 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds	34c	839.97$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.58	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked New York Yankees	66c	789.06$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.78	71	54.9%39 W · 32 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Cincinnati Reds	44c	784$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.04	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed New York Yankees	13c	783.57$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.32	792	55.6%440 W · 352 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds	33c	770$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.9	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds	44c	760.29$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.63	3,456	51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L	+107.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c32…967dbacked New York Yankees	66c	757.58$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed New York Yankees	66c	757$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.62	204	55.9%114 W · 90 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43aa…a091backed Cincinnati Reds	35c	749.85$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.4	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Cincinnati Reds	35c	714.29$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.29	327	42.2%138 W · 189 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked Cincinnati Reds	35c	699.8$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.74	243	46.9%114 W · 129 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cincinnati Reds	33c	652.6$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.24	1,521	48.6%739 W · 782 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed New York Yankees	51c	631.13$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.37	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Yankees	61c	624.03$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.94	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e05…7720backed Cincinnati Reds	36c	613.03$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.34	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6871…e9dcbacked New York Yankees	66c	606.06$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed New York Yankees	51c	584.62$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	296	56.1%166 W · 130 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Yankees	52c	553$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.56	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe00a…330ebacked New York Yankees	64c	546.88$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Cincinnati Reds	35c	541.11$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.51	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked New York Yankees	10c	540$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesthis page
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. New York YankeesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event