TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c32…967d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.74
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.47
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.2
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.34
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.98
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.79
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$21.45
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.38
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.18
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.47
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.09
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20.14
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.82
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.16
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$23.74
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.33
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+112.8%+$67.66
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$85
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$14.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bordeaux: Alex Molcan vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.