MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf447965f2669b7aa3e5f5d320b2cdd8c19943f8bfb90abbde31202d88aa9c56d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Los Angeles Angels, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $599,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $619,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $599,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 335 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 134,927$55,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,845.51 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 81,818$36,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,405.59 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 66,473$38,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,124.53 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 45,398$26,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,067.05 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 31c | 35,103$10,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,781.52 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 31,835$24,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,288.41 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 30,854$17,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,687.97 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 25,834$15,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,591.94 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.97 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 15c | 14,636$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 13,977$8,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,730.76 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 12,500$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 11,863$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,863.71 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 8,702$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,654.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Los Angeles Angels | 9c | 6,272$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.44 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 5,682$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.82 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 5,114$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.14 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 5,003$3,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.96 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 35c | 4,332$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Los Angeles Angels | 13c | 3,639$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.1 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 5c | 3,381$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.93 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 3,267$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.46 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Los Angeles Angels | 11c | 2,854$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.33 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Los Angeles Angels | 23c | 2,609$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 2,477$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.39 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 2,390$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,264$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.21 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 2,122$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.84 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,052$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.72 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Los Angeles Angels | 53c | 2,000$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.89 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 1,893$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 24c | 1,407$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.67 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.19 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,247$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.2 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 1,240$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.33 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 1,153$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.69 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 18c | 1,148$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.37 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,080$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa013…2f8cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,035$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 1,024$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.08 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,022$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.17 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 1,020$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.18 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 1,017$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.97 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 24c | 1,002$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.74 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Los Angeles Angels | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 989.28$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.28 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 977.68$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.63 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 974.97$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.94 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 972.92$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.99 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Los Angeles Angels | 20c | 852.02$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.92 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Los Angeles Angels | 12c | 850$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Los Angeles Angels | 16c | 754.75$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 720$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.2 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 708.15$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.63 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 706.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 706.44$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.67 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 640$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 625$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.25 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 623.97$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.47 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 570.41$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 544.97$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.02 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Los Angeles Angels | 19c | 531.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Los Angeles Angels | 16c | 528.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721e…3439backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 508.47$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.56 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 480$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 452.96$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.95 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 434.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.45 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 379.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 333.23$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.69 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 309.27$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 305.29$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 304.7$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Los Angeles Angels | 25c | 294.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 286.86$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 262.88$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 260$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.