MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc71c1429a1ce17d7135e72a1f23f7de1a8d1c690d7ae0c9c7b5a1cf0d26e4a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 33,172$15,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,124.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 45c | 31,437$14,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,290.3 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 54c | 24,474$13,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,327.12 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed Over | 56c | 20,770$11,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,650 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Over | 57c | 12,578$7,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,169.23 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Over | 55c | 9,000$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,940.12 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 7,680$4,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,328.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 45c | 5,650$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.1 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 4,856$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.55 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 44c | 4,800$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 57c | 4,170$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.54 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.09 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 45c | 3,182$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.94 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 2,968$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 42c | 2,023$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.24 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 58c | 1,234$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.72 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 44c | 1,216$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.16 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 57c | 1,200$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.09 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 42c | 1,171$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.52 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 47c | 1,065$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.87 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 1,024$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 55c | 999.55$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.62 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Over | 57c | 835.11$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.01 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 44c | 780$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.8 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 59c | 770.62$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.46 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 44c | 646.98$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.96 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 58c | 529.24$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.96 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 57c | 512.37$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.05 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 46c | 482.96$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.4 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 57c | 461.36$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.16 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 57c | 461.35$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.15 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Over | 57c | 421.6$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.12 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 44c | 364.81$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 43c | 359$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.84 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 53c | 301.27$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.67 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 44c | 295.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.47 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 43c | 268.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.63 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 58c | 251.55$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.86 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 45c | 219.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a4…5846backed Under | 46c | 210.28$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 46c | 199.34$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.37 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 57c | 183.24$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.16 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed Over | 57c | 152.42$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 53c | 144.64$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 57c | 122.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 44c | 114.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 44c | 113.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 41c | 104.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…c536backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 51c | 98.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 43c | 98.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 45c | 98.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 38c | 97.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf78b…d1adbacked Under | 47c | 82.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Over | 49c | 79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 44c | 75.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 46c | 70.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 55c | 69.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…cd5fbacked Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…69aabacked Under | 59c | 61.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 43c | 59.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 57c | 58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 56c | 56.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 47c | 56.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 46c | 54.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Under | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdd…4648backed Over | 57c | 51.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 47.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…7192backed Under | 45c | 44.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Over | 57c | 40.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 56c | 39.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 36.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…0cd6backed Under | 46c | 33.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 43c | 27.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9250…6f76backed Under | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…104fbacked Over | 51c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b9…47b6backed Over | 55c | 21.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.