MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x078193b8596070773bbdda02cc5e7d8b0fe3adb8019a2270ddfe0d3b93990e8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Chicago Cubs, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $424,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $440,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $424,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 222,222$126,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,555.46 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 169,837$73,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,029.87 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 40,731$14,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,881.64 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 35,121$19,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,910.94 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 22,222$12,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,555.46 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,375 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 11,742$5,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,401.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 9,594$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140.39 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 7,661$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.6 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 6,272$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717.58 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 5,816$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.88 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 4,768$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.25 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 3,969$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 3,900$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 3,846$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.43 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 3,638$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.1 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Chicago Cubs | 1c | 3,625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 2,889$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Chicago Cubs | 8c | 2,732$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 2,698$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.12 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 2,439$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 16c | 2,412$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.66 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 2,102$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.2 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,920$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.09 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Chicago Cubs | 1c | 1,845$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,743$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.31 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 14c | 1,719$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.15 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,577$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.02 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 1,235$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.76 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chicago Cubs | 3c | 1,206$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago Cubs | 10c | 1,189$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 1,170$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.81 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,049$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Chicago Cubs | 6c | 999.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Chicago Cubs | 16c | 948.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 942.73$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.65 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 839.82$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.92 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 815.22$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 637$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 5c | 627.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 600.42$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.79 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 533.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.64 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 503$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.35 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Chicago Cubs | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 468.09$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.32 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 442.78$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.25 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 440$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 440$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 438.05$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.74 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 398$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.13 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Chicago Cubs | 5c | 392.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 358$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.52 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…d16ebacked Chicago Cubs | 8c | 345.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…14c3backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 284.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 282.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 282.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.84 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 272.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 264.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 260$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.3 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Chicago Cubs | 25c | 245$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 243.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.73 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…037fbacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 230$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 228.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Chicago Cubs | 9c | 219.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 217.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 213.93$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 210$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 203.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 192$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 180.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 167.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 13.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.