MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc24c6953459465959bc542bbfeed5488ed1461e0648ba8dbcd21b6e2dd24286
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Minnesota Twins, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $377,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 66,666$28,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,666.35 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 53,187$30,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,870.29 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Minnesota Twins | 32c | 44,691$14,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,305.1 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 29,409$17,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,051.79 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 27,793$10,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,253.7 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 19,371$9,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,550.49 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 18,159$12,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,696.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 17,139$9,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,369.77 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…d8f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 14,605$11,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550.7 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 29c | 11,670$3,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.61 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 8,938$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582.16 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 8,741$6,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.65 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 7,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.97 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 6,595$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.94 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 4,824$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.71 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.08 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…f28abacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 4,086$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 4,013$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.93 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 3,835$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.03 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 3,625$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.2 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 3,613$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.46 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 3,426$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 3,289$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.75 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 2,730$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.39 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 16c | 2,605$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.25 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 2,001$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.04 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.96 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 1,999$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.15 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 1,994$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.6 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins | 26c | 1,856$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.51 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 1,728$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.49 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 1,706$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.04 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,596$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.13 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…a8a1backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 1,587$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,555$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.09 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.51 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.51 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,379$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.31 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 25c | 1,372$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.13 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,203$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.53 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,131$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 1,067$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.88 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,024$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.32 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 995.48$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.48 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 995.16$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.25 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…244dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 974.58$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 935$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.8 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…64c8backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 888.37$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 850$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…2e67backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 833.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 823.2$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.58 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 799.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 789.66$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.66 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 733.54$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.08 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Minnesota Twins | 21c | 730.58$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.85 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 726.73$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.69 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 628.88$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.29 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…e2c4backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 573.35$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.41 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 542.68$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.71 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 520$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Minnesota Twins | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 493.71$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 490.57$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.36 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefd3…bed8backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 470.18$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.68 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 440.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 32c | 425.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 420$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 419.57$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.55 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 404.37$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 399.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 396.78$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.63 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 389.81$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.93 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 370.69$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.69 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4c…fa0cbacked Minnesota Twins | 36c | 364$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 359.5$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.46 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 323.1$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.07 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…3035backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 317.39$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 312.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 299.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d5…e1debacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 287$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.09 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…1a49backed Minnesota Twins | 35c | 286.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -10.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 265.18$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 261.52$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.