MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ce5f690e59c98a33dbe4515f2fb2896dec545fc86c51ab2f9d46f435c517011
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Arizona Diamondbacks, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $327,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 78,261$36,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,782.61 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 42,430$22,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,466.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 30,181$17,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,676.03 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…8c4bbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 22,222$11,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,111 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 20,812$9,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,955.73 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 20,126$12,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,440.38 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Atlanta Braves | 68c | 16,668$11,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.57 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 14,943$5,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,347.35 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 14,126$6,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,497.77 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 7,609$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.09 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd0…c890backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 5,435$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.89 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 4,891$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.91 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.08 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…4a1dbacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 3,443$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 3,396$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.34 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 25c | 2,857$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.59 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…9d39backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 2,714$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.54 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 2,031$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 1,752$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.68 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 1,703$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 1,499$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.71 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Braves | 75c | 1,494$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.65 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,362$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.77 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,109$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.22 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 991$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.13 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 860.13$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.26 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 800.26$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.23 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 795.04$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.67 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…8366backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 625$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.75 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 607.35$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…3733backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 600$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 545.46$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.46 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 495.27$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.83 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Atlanta Braves | 75c | 445.17$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 434.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.09 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 408$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Atlanta Braves | 75c | 397$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.25 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 393.26$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 362.26$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 21c | 348$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e55…a332backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 321$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 305.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 301.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 299.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 299.54$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 286$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 282.1$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 278.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 440 | 58.9%259 W · 181 L | +29.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…74c8backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 274$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.78 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 274$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.78 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Atlanta Braves | 73c | 273$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…c3cabacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 260$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 242.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…6b58backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 237.43$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 236.68$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 234.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 230$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 220.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 218$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 204.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcd…c367backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 190.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 190$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 190$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 178.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 73c | 173.03$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 170.84$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…5bf7backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 169.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 168.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 166$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…3805backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 155.65$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 152.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Atlanta Braves | 75c | 152.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 150.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 144.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 469 | 49.9%234 W · 235 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 142.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 134.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 133$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Atlanta Braves | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 127.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.