MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffd86f8675878751ea1a086f20897f3c61939afdff362fd9dfd904794ffbcdc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 56c | 60,682$34,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,247.53 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 43c | 33,962$14,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,227.96 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 44c | 9,715$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440.36 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 35c | 8,248$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.83 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 8,046$5,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 6,012$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.59 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Under | 49c | 5,218$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 3,822$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 44c | 3,022$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.37 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 44c | 2,148$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.58 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 1,891$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.27 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 54c | 1,657$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.88 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 66c | 1,573$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 44c | 1,486$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.31 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 53c | 1,471$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.41 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Under | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 73c | 1,250$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 43c | 1,070$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.9 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,067$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.51 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 1,039$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.5 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 44c | 960.93$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.32 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 45c | 943.93$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 44c | 802.5$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.4 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 43c | 691.61$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.22 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 43c | 648.71$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.76 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 511.09$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.37 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 43c | 414.7$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 43c | 399$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.43 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 62c | 370.9$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 54c | 364.57$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.87 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 43c | 357.04$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.32 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 34c | 320.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 73c | 302.78$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 47c | 302.08$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.08 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 66c | 297.02$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.78 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 43c | 283.89$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 276$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 266.61$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.83 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 48c | 262.92$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 54c | 252.65$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.43 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 240.14$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 39c | 216.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 46c | 179.43$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Over | 55c | 173.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 23c | 167.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 163.96$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 46c | 152.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed Over | 34c | 138$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 44c | 135$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 45c | 133.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Under | 79c | 133.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Under | 46c | 126.03$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Over | 29c | 116.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 105.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 53c | 100.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Under | 45c | 95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 18c | 91.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 48c | 87.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Over | 34c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 28c | 84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 34c | 83.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 43c | 68.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 47c | 65.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 44c | 59.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 45c | 55.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 43c | 53.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 50.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 52c | 47.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 38c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 43c | 44.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Over | 35c | 43.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Over | 53c | 39.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Under | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 881 | 47.8%421 W · 460 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 55c | 36.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…c856backed Over | 54c | 36.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 71c | 33.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 50c | 30.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Over | 34c | 30.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Under | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 43c | 26.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 42c | 24.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 58c | 24.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 320 | 54.1%173 W · 147 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…02f0backed Over | 52c | 21.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.