CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdef09bba560552203fb216e47bece3c9f41da76347acd9e499341cc39a2c93cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof Aurora Gaming, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $685,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $733,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 513 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked FUT Esports | 42c | 229,221$95,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,383.58 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 104,402$60,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,829.12 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 79,062$45,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,855.96 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 38,223$16,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,529.55 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed FUT Esports | 49c | 27,830$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,229.74 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed FUT Esports | 41c | 21,546$8,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,648 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 16,571$3,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.53 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed FUT Esports | 41c | 15,041$6,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,873.95 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 15,000$8,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,649.98 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 15,000$8,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,624.92 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 13,724$8,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,007.07 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked FUT Esports | 43c | 12,076$5,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,883.28 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FUT Esports | 51c | 11,500$5,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,644.76 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked FUT Esports | 54c | 11,496$6,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.8 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 10,956$6,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,354.42 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 10,770$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…b91cbacked Aurora Gaming | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.98 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed FUT Esports | 64c | 10,000$6,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.97 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 9,069$5,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,230.28 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd606…9e01backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 7,745$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 6,780$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 6,674$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.89 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 6,620$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.52 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked FUT Esports | 42c | 6,352$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.12 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 5,462$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.19 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked FUT Esports | 74c | 4,941$3,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.65 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…1a4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 4,879$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.96 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…6591backed FUT Esports | 42c | 4,744$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 4,731$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…12b2backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 4,653$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…e176backed FUT Esports | 42c | 4,653$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 4,352$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…5307backed FUT Esports | 42c | 4,158$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x632a…ac85backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 4,158$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…d410backed Aurora Gaming | 5c | 3,999$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.78 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked FUT Esports | 53c | 3,500$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.99 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 3,476$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked FUT Esports | 42c | 3,262$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.9 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed FUT Esports | 43c | 3,259$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.97 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 3,122$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.92 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FUT Esports | 44c | 3,020$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.45 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 2,773$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.9 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,759$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 2,517$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed FUT Esports | 42c | 2,452$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.38 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…9863backed Aurora Gaming | 22c | 2,333$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FUT Esports | 72c | 2,317$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.73 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 2,146$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.53 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,108$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.53 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FUT Esports | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.99 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed FUT Esports | 42c | 1,972$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.17 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 1,917$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.67 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,895$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.3 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked FUT Esports | 61c | 1,870$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.13 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,850$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e0…9231backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,694$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 1,688$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.19 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked FUT Esports | 77c | 1,653$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.68 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,592$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.07 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Aurora Gaming | 26c | 1,589$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.13 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed FUT Esports | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.97 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,486$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3c…6cd2backed Aurora Gaming | 37c | 1,444$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked FUT Esports | 62c | 1,437$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.33 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed FUT Esports | 66c | 1,431$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.05 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x769c…5c05backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 1,418$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed FUT Esports | 44c | 1,305$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.85 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked FUT Esports | 47c | 1,254$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.93 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed FUT Esports | 64c | 1,248$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.5 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,210$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.8 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 1,190$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.1 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 1,158$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.51 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed FUT Esports | 42c | 1,111$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.38 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FUT Esports | 56c | 1,086$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.02 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,049$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.42 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…1b03backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 1,039$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb45…4972backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,029$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.94 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked FUT Esports | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed FUT Esports | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed FUT Esports | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213f…1da2backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 948.28$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2f…4887backed FUT Esports | 42c | 903.93$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Aurora Gaming | 10c | 884.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Aurora Gaming | 9c | 883.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 262 | 51.1%134 W · 128 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b8…950bbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…2921backed FUT Esports | 42c | 809.52$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed FUT Esports | 41c | 796.99$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.23 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 795$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.37 | 296 | 47.6%141 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…d0a4backed FUT Esports | 64c | 781.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…8ebcbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 754.98$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 754$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.23 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.