CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e80875ed4c846dafced7dd6937e597af26ab94b53d226e9ad86c946c6b1b8e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof Aurora Gaming, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed FUT Esports | 47c | 5,056$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.61 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 3,170$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.64 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 3,147$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.64 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 5c | 3,115$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 2,891$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.84 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed FUT Esports | 49c | 2,664$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.98 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Aurora Gaming | 34c | 1,555$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.76 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…f4d5backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…7f2abacked FUT Esports | 47c | 1,278$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.34 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…1afcbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 1,193$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 1,100$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed FUT Esports | 49c | 995.09$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.07 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 928.96$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.5 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 919.25$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 906.52$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.39 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Aurora Gaming | 7c | 845.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed FUT Esports | 37c | 666.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.23 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 649.83$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.21 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed FUT Esports | 38c | 601.94$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.59 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…1b03backed FUT Esports | 52c | 600.05$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.05 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 599.93$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.97 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 564.26$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.59 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 500$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.05 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed FUT Esports | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 499.97$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FUT Esports | 42c | 470$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.31 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 436.87$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.63 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FUT Esports | 54c | 409$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.02 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked FUT Esports | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 389.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.92 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 375$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed FUT Esports | 40c | 363.85$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.09 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Aurora Gaming | 4c | 311.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 300.57$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.38 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 298.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed FUT Esports | 34c | 288$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 265.38$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.24 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 263$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.08 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 262.67$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.84 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…275ebacked FUT Esports | 42c | 238.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 232.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 220.81$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.98 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed FUT Esports | 42c | 207.74$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed FUT Esports | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked FUT Esports | 58c | 198$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…68e8backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 190.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 70.2%80 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 188.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked FUT Esports | 48c | 180.61$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked FUT Esports | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddc…3428backed FUT Esports | 30c | 167.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +163.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked FUT Esports | 48c | 149.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 146.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked FUT Esports | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 110.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked FUT Esports | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked FUT Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed FUT Esports | 51c | 98.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked FUT Esports | 41c | 90.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Aurora Gaming | 18c | 82.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked FUT Esports | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…f425backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 65.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed FUT Esports | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed FUT Esports | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed FUT Esports | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed FUT Esports | 49c | 50.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 47.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed FUT Esports | 53c | 43.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 180 | 37.8%68 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked FUT Esports | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked FUT Esports | 72c | 39.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 38.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…328cbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 38.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…00b4backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 38.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed FUT Esports | 49c | 37.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FUT Esports | 40c | 37.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 35.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…fb0bbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 33.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed FUT Esports | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…2c0bbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e2…da93backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 29.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 27.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbb…0c8cbacked FUT Esports | 48c | 27.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1356…d4f3backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.