MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe99d13ac2c26d02d34259969dfb159e668ff2294f9f520832ca0e1eb2b122bb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $441,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 111,064$28,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,017.7 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…7a20backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 80,000$50,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,600 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 45,313$29,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,000 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 33c | 44,557$14,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,801.14 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 30,000$17,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 23,678$12,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,644 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 19,979$7,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,731.89 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 15,102$9,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,363.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 12,154$7,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,538.46 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,200 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 5c | 8,719$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.97 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 7,762$4,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,928.36 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 7,210$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.03 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 6,830$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.9 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 6,033$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.09 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.39 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 5,007$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.79 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Chicago Cubs | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 4,988$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.32 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 4,111$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.86 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 4,055$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 4,032$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.23 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 3,288$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 2,790$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.36 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 2,493$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.35 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 2,270$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.47 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 2,078$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.56 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Chicago Cubs | 2c | 2,009$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.95 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Chicago Cubs | 7c | 1,714$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Chicago Cubs | 13c | 1,446$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.41 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 1,361$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 1,358$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.31 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 1,325$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.75 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807a…8bdbbacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 1,280$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 1,233$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.96 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,147$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,075$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 899$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.37 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 854.62$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.42 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 730$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.01 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 620$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.4 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 526.31$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.58 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 518.62$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Chicago Cubs | 26c | 510.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.15 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 507.1$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.61 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 483.92$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.87 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 464.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.73 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 438.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 413.6$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.57 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 382.81$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 376$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.09 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 357.14$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 318.23$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.39 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 316.42$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 313$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 291.82$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.97 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 288$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.12 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 285$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 277$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 274$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.36 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 272.7$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 272.62$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.08 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…4740backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 265.82$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 261.3$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.81 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 226.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.74 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b96…7b25backed Chicago Cubs | 20c | 226.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Chicago Cubs | 13c | 222.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 217.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.73 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 216.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 216.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 207.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.37 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 199.15$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 189.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 187.21$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 175.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.