MLB · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc313c92f3e0ec40970d84f0c966bbf7d3056a9f266195f07f08fcc0a5c4ae7e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Chicago Cubs, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 37,145$17,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,018.69 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 16,686$8,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,842.57 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 11,294$5,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,183.04 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 8,646$4,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,890.85 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 8,550$4,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,906.64 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 6,711$3,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.9 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 6,210$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.32 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.75 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 26c | 4,186$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.88 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 3,278$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.1 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 3,209$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.95 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 3,209$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.95 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 3,191$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.99 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 2,460$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.16 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 2,175$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.63 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 1,630$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.33 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 1,608$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.84 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 1,441$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 1,300$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.67 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 1,141$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.7 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 18c | 909.32$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.56 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 877.5$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.44 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 833.33$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 675.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 625.33$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.64 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 625$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 545.22$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.9 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 535.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.68 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 534.71$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.27 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 491.69$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.26 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 477.17$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 456.7$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.95 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 414$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 340$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 329.55$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 313.61$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 309.71$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.27 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chicago Cubs | 19c | 283.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 268.44$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 210.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 208.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 208.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 208.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 199$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 196$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 168.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 168$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 154.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 151.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Chicago Cubs | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 133.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 124.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 115.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 104.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 100.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -16.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e53…922dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 89.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 86.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…ef8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 19c | 83.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 79.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 75.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 72.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 64.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 64.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 62.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 58.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…9e7bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 58.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 52.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 51.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 45.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…e235backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 45.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…c856backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Chicago Cubs | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…ab77backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 42.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 42.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Chicago Cubs | 26c | 42.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 41.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 41.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc915…2b84backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 41.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.