MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94710318784a6a4fefdf735fc9b4e594a5a48ffc2136c8aa4af582a8fe779fe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 55c | 224,016$124,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,003.69 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 45c | 46,474$20,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,731.73 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 44c | 34,151$15,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,117.96 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 45c | 33,790$15,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,205.41 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 24,531$11,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,038.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 14,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 45c | 12,803$5,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,758.73 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Under | 44c | 12,500$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Under | 44c | 9,064$4,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,008.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 8,076$3,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,535.78 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 44c | 6,625$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.61 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 5,947$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.49 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 5,443$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.3 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 45c | 5,400$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.08 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 3,635$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.06 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 45c | 2,322$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.52 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 54c | 2,212$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.34 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 55c | 2,048$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.84 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 1,944$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.8 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 60c | 1,441$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.65 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Under | 46c | 1,356$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.96 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 45c | 1,083$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.23 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 44c | 1,007$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.08 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Under | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 45c | 675.79$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.11 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Under | 45c | 638.29$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.23 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 45c | 430.61$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.77 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 44c | 418$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.92 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 45c | 372$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Under | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Under | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Under | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 69c | 227.09$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Under | 45c | 212.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Under | 45c | 212.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Under | 45c | 212.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 54c | 181.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.01 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Over | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 57c | 157.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 150.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 56c | 136.76$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 45c | 136.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Under | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 56c | 128$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Over | 56c | 126.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 45c | 126$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 45c | 117.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 46c | 115.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Under | 45c | 106.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Under | 45c | 106.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 57c | 99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 56c | 98.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Under | 44c | 95.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 90.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Under | 45c | 79.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 45c | 74.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 55c | 69.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 46c | 64.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 45c | 61.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 45c | 60.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 59c | 55.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 55c | 55.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…9148backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f53…12cabacked Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…27cfbacked Over | 56c | 48.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 44c | 47.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 45c | 46.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…ab77backed Under | 45c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Under | 45c | 43.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Under | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Under | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc915…2b84backed Under | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a9…96ecbacked Under | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 44c | 41.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af6…ffdbbacked Under | 44c | 33.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2d…fe81backed Over | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 13.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.