TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe369…9148

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Galorys (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-Sashi Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Group Dbacked ex-Sashi Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Galorys - Map 1 Winnerbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Revise - Map 1 Winnerbacked Revise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+118.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.28
Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)backed Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Al Nassr Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.