Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf60a76c6ef70615e3179cb31224ca7a1294b9ede6e77078a6275577095d8a530
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 53c | 7,791$4,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,156.65 | 1,140 | 36.7%418 W · 722 L | -16.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes | 44c | 4,993$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.55 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1094…b17abacked Yes | 52c | 3,784$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,823.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 53c | 1,719$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.46 | 1,465 | 44.4%650 W · 815 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 72c | 657.23$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.21 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 77c | 630.74$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 549.44$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.62 | 6,253 | 45.5%2,847 W · 3,406 L | -35.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 55c | 351$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 575 | 44.9%258 W · 317 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 38c | 330.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.65 | 134 | 34.3%46 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 29c | 300$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.39 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 47c | 272.07$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 798 | 33%263 W · 535 L | -38.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 176$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 968 | 43.8%424 W · 544 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 175.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 5,007 | 41.2%2,064 W · 2,943 L | +19.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 48c | 153.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…9a0dbacked Yes | 48c | 120.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 116.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 1,472 | 48.3%711 W · 761 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 73c | 113$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 1,383 | 32.1%444 W · 939 L | -20.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 56c | 98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 56c | 97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 47c | 83.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 32c | 68.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 65.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 903 | 52.6%475 W · 428 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 42c | 62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 56.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 463 | 39.5%183 W · 280 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 62c | 50.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -10.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 29c | 49.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 42c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 49c | 37.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 280 | 51.1%143 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 71c | 33.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 42c | 31.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 42c | 31.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 30.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 1,082 | 52.2%565 W · 517 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 610 | 50.8%310 W · 300 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…d9e9backed Yes | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed No | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…9148backed No | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f53…12cabacked No | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed No | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…6e45backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.