Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebd2285526b933b85ff1da9618163c94e616d4aff55c3df60a9f318f2e6fdab3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 57c | 10,526$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ad…b017backed Yes | 33c | 6,053$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 44c | 4,020$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.8 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 56c | 3,442$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.61 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 3,389$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.01 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +12.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 57c | 1,890$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.89 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 65c | 1,519$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.12 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 1,392$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.5 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 1,293$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.19 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 855.19$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.2 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Yes | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 57c | 684.88$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.36 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 596.37$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.02 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 44c | 473.09$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.89 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 43c | 451.77$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.26 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Yes | 43c | 406.05$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 60c | 338.94$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 42c | 329$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed No | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed No | 62c | 299.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 26c | 299.92$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 289.18$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 275.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 43c | 274.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Yes | 36c | 270.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2d3ebacked Yes | 41c | 230.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…9a0dbacked Yes | 25c | 214.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 40c | 197.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 6c | 174.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked No | 58c | 163.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 33c | 143.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 135.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 41c | 116.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 44c | 111.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 66c | 94.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 92.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…dfcbbacked Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked No | 61c | 81.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 31c | 64.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 58c | 64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 59c | 58.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 43c | 54.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 29c | 46.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 60c | 37.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed No | 58c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb91…7aa0backed No | 57c | 34.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…65e6backed No | 57c | 29.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 38c | 27.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae85…c96abacked Yes | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 74c | 24.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 58c | 19.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 75c | 18.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 60c | 17.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…774cbacked No | 79c | 15.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.