TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Nassr Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Al Fateh Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,346

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,259 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Al Fateh Saudi Club33c1,567$517 inLost-$517.242,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Nassr Saudi Club41c425.25$174 inWon+$251.71,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Al Fateh Saudi Club56c369.55$207 inLost-$206.956349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club53c322.48$170 inLost-$169.5634847.4%165 W · 183 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Al Nassr Saudi Club44c236.24$104 inWon+$132.2929432%94 W · 200 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Al Nassr Saudi Club49c200$98 inWon+$1023831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club42c141.95$60 inWon+$82.338440.5%34 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Nassr Saudi Club47c112.9$53 inWon+$59.841,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Al Nassr Saudi Club47c108$51 inWon+$57.241,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club40c93$37 inLost-$37.3358542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Al Fateh Saudi Club53c85$45 inLost-$44.8417041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Al Nassr Saudi Club45c83.62$37 inWon+$46.341,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Al Nassr Saudi Club47c80$38 inWon+$42.432654%176 W · 150 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Al Nassr Saudi Club44c78.67$35 inWon+$44.0312242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club47c64.2$30 inWon+$34.031,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Al Nassr Saudi Club44c64$28 inWon+$35.843545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Al Fateh Saudi Club48c56.76$27 inLost-$27.472,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Al Nassr Saudi Club44c43.27$19 inWon+$24.2374739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club59c43.27$26 inWon+$17.7444152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club56c43.1$24 inLost-$24.141464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club56c29.55$17 inLost-$16.551250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Al Nassr Saudi Club40c25$10 inWon+$153551.4%18 W · 17 L+7.1wins+0.20per pick31cpaid+99.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe369…9148backed Al Nassr Saudi Club40c25$10 inWon+$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f53…12cabacked Al Nassr Saudi Club40c25$10 inWon+$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Al Nassr Saudi Club40c25$10 inWon+$154052.5%21 W · 19 L+8.5wins+0.21per pick31cpaid+106.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Al Nassr Saudi Club47c23.64$11 inWon+$12.5324061.7%148 W · 92 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Al Fateh Saudi Club57c21.05$12 inLost-$1218646.2%86 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Al Nassr Saudi Club71c15$11 inWon+$4.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.