Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6c5fd4641ab25c79feb10bac38c416b3fad0d3715c4f04431b460fca6bd2ea6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 67c | 6,044$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.19 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 4,543$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.25 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 3,976$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.43 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Over | 67c | 1,527$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 70c | 1,188$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.14 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 963.97$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.88 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 22c | 694.22$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.98 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca1…58acbacked Over | 74c | 675.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 58c | 620.71$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.7 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 31c | 445.78$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.09 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 24c | 103$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 63c | 94.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 63c | 94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 25c | 66.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 21c | 48.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 37c | 46.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 34c | 45.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Over | 64c | 36.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Over | 76c | 19.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 78c | 18.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9570…17c0backed Over | 76c | 18.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 79c | 15.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over | 67c | 15.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +1,035.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…13e3backed Over | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Al Nassr Saudi Club O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.