TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Nassr Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Al Fateh Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,799
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,906

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,799 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Al Fateh Saudi Club29c1,645$477 inLost-$476.985,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club63c1,297$817 inWon+$479.887263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Al Nassr Saudi Club53c776.6$412 inWon+$36582842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Al Nassr Saudi Club78c634.35$492 inWon+$142.022,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Al Fateh Saudi Club37c573.33$212 inLost-$212.131,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Al Fateh Saudi Club14c441.29$62 inLost-$61.788440.5%34 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Al Nassr Saudi Club69c300$207 inWon+$933831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Al Fateh Saudi Club17c244$41 inLost-$41.481,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Al Fateh Saudi Club35c160$56 inLost-$55.641,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Al Nassr Saudi Club67c142.13$95 inWon+$46.974739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Al Fateh Saudi Club28c44.06$12 inLost-$12.4637153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club33c36$12 inLost-$11.713644.9%61 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Al Fateh Saudi Club32c34.3$11 inLost-$11.0925155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Al Fateh Saudi Club37c32$12 inLost-$11.8419354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Al Nassr Saudi Club64c24.58$16 inWon+$8.854961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Al Nassr Saudi Club69c21.7$15 inWon+$6.7317058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Al Nassr Saudi Club68c20$14 inWon+$6.42470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.