Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6e6b7f540ec0acf7db5e92cf1b364e00810a4d821e6b2bc350fd066d9384cec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 29c | 5,220$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.97 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 4,149$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.23 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 3,822$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.31 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 41c | 3,184$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.03 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 52c | 2,713$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.02 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 56c | 1,379$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.83 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 73c | 840.51$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 13c | 569.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…98b7backed Over | 60c | 496.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 13c | 364.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 29c | 344.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3440…6748backed Over | 43c | 286.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 268.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…2cd4backed Over | 27c | 183.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 124.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 39c | 123.21$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 16c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 40c | 97.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 65c | 93.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 70c | 68.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 63c | 65.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 63.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 20c | 60.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 44c | 59.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Over | 56c | 59.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 58c | 58.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 46c | 56.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 40c | 56.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 62c | 43.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 44c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 54c | 35.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 58c | 34.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 42c | 34.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 71c | 26.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 44c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 55c | 25.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 63c | 23.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…9148backed Over | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f53…12cabacked Over | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 21.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Al Nassr Saudi Club O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 0.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.