CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Galorys - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x242941d9d5538645609580033062a17e4c27a520bd1afdd8397097d17ff21779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, Galorys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Galorys | 14c | 3,529$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.04 | 533 | 42.6%227 W · 306 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Keyd | 50c | 741.91$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.53 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Keyd | 67c | 159.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 1,932 | 42.2%815 W · 1,117 L | -69.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Galorys | 24c | 121.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Keyd | 46c | 109.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Keyd | 67c | 103$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 2,441 | 42.9%1,047 W · 1,394 L | -72.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Keyd | 65c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 3,256 | 51.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L | +89.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Galorys | 40c | 67.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Galorys | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -5.1wins | -0.37per pick | 58cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Keyd | 67c | 35.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4,261 | 49.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L | +62.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Galorys | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,212 | 54.4%659 W · 553 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Keyd | 53c | 30.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 2,244 | 47.6%1,068 W · 1,176 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Galorys | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…9148backed Galorys | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f53…12cabacked Galorys | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Galorys - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Galorys (BO3) - BetBoom Storm PlayoffsKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Galorys - Map 2 WinnerGalorys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.