Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: PSV (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8436df8bc750e5449ca07d304c83fcd5e401f9cdc5f343de64fec9ee067db11d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SBV Excelsiorof PSV, SBV Excelsior
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed PSV | 46c | 2,699$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.87 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SBV Excelsior | 53c | 1,020$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.1 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SBV Excelsior | 56c | 963.86$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.15 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked PSV | 45c | 825.4$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed SBV Excelsior | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked SBV Excelsior | 54c | 539.07$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed SBV Excelsior | 57c | 480.1$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.73 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…291fbacked SBV Excelsior | 55c | 324$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PSV | 42c | 306.51$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.19 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked PSV | 41c | 266.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed PSV | 47c | 240$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed SBV Excelsior | 64c | 218.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed PSV | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked SBV Excelsior | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed SBV Excelsior | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed PSV | 34c | 187.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed PSV | 46c | 184.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed PSV | 33c | 145.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SBV Excelsior | 56c | 128.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed SBV Excelsior | 54c | 115$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked PSV | 34c | 113.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed PSV | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed SBV Excelsior | 52c | 99.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked PSV | 48c | 99.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SBV Excelsior | 54c | 96.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed SBV Excelsior | 58c | 90.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked SBV Excelsior | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed PSV | 59c | 69.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed PSV | 47c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…56b1backed SBV Excelsior | 53c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PSV | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SBV Excelsior | 66c | 63.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked SBV Excelsior | 56c | 59.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed PSV | 54c | 42.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked SBV Excelsior | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed PSV | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed SBV Excelsior | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed SBV Excelsior | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed SBV Excelsior | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SBV Excelsior | 65c | 31.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed SBV Excelsior | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked PSV | 47c | 25.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed SBV Excelsior | 54c | 25.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed SBV Excelsior | 58c | 24.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed SBV Excelsior | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…9148backed SBV Excelsior | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed SBV Excelsior | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f53…12cabacked SBV Excelsior | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked SBV Excelsior | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)this page
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 0.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 2.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 3.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 4.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 5.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: PSV O/U 0.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: PSV O/U 2.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: SBV Excelsior O/U 1.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: SBV Excelsior O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)SBV Excelsior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.