Other European Leagues · resolved market
SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11369e1142f35202a2d00c31f9a55cbb693bf3208d85d41c78b1ab018be0caaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 75c | 5,001$3,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.82 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 818.35$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.37 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 787.84$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.06 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 25c | 685.75$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.44 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 25c | 624$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 43c | 465.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 310.75$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 32c | 256.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 25c | 234.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 26c | 234$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 69c | 210.62$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 65c | 142.02$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 32c | 116.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 31c | 100.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 97.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 28c | 63.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 25c | 61.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 61c | 49.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 26c | 49.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x539c…29b1backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 72c | 39.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 74c | 38.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 60c | 34.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…ec56backed Over | 74c | 21.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 2.5this page
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 0.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 3.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 4.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 5.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: PSV O/U 0.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: PSV O/U 2.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: SBV Excelsior O/U 1.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: SBV Excelsior O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)SBV Excelsior won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)SBV Excelsior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.