Other European Leagues · resolved market
SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x543d37f34d1bdb7565940ee21464f970c85ad93d684fd987fb0e93f573e09545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 2,377$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.72 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 75c | 2,093$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.12 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 32c | 1,544$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 25c | 1,305$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.18 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 10c | 938.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…96c6backed Under | 66c | 657.04$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…c5e1backed Under | 78c | 627.9$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.19 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 71c | 520$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.85 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 34c | 405$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 67c | 373$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Over | 29c | 337.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 71c | 329.84$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 25c | 275.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 66c | 262.66$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 21c | 238.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 25c | 225.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 14c | 143.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 78c | 106$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 21c | 91.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 68c | 79.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 26c | 53.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 50.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 66c | 49.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 32c | 44.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 46c | 42.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…612bbacked Under | 73c | 26.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 69c | 21.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 4.5this page
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 0.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 2.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 3.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 5.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: PSV O/U 0.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: PSV O/U 2.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: SBV Excelsior O/U 1.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: SBV Excelsior O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)SBV Excelsior won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)SBV Excelsior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.