Other European Leagues · resolved market
SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d1d1e9992f0eba5604044ad238ac4ae791665367605d6fb402e39dfce85dab4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 51c | 2,978$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.28 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 36c | 2,344$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.67 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 838.72$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 692.55$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.47 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 34c | 679.94$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.18 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 545$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.05 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 66c | 430$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 66c | 373.29$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…0c67backed Yes | 66c | 353.43$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 66c | 331.86$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.83 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 66c | 273.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 66c | 269.68$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…0baebacked Yes | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…38a6backed Yes | 67c | 207.38$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 34c | 168.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 130.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…b4eabacked Yes | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 66c | 81.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 66c | 79.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Yes | 66c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfede…9c4abacked Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Yes | 67c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…c92ebacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 49c | 23.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 49c | 23.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 66c | 17.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 0.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 2.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 3.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 4.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: O/U 5.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: PSV O/U 0.5Over won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: PSV O/U 2.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: SBV Excelsior O/U 1.5Under won
- SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: SBV Excelsior O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)SBV Excelsior won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)SBV Excelsior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.