Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49e1bc965a85f79d27e7149b82f378c093ae4ea824695751b5230661cda7af78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 21c | 7,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.99 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 7,273$5,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 64c | 2,103$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.85 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 1,660$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 33c | 1,511$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.57 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed No | 63c | 1,349$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8b…cb2cbacked No | 31c | 890.91$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 651.33$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.22 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 30c | 556.19$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.94 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 38c | 367.32$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.74 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 38c | 294.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.73 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 38c | 250$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.94 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 63c | 231.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 54c | 208.23$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 37c | 155.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed Yes | 65c | 147.69$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 144.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 79c | 138.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 79c | 133.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 36c | 132.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 79c | 121.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 112.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 30c | 99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 35c | 98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 79c | 89.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 26c | 88.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 42c | 86.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 34c | 84.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 62c | 69.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 80c | 68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 57c | 52.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 67c | 47.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 52c | 47.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…3302backed No | 35c | 42.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 32c | 40.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 79c | 36.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 48c | 32.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Yes | 35c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed No | 65c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 35c | 29.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 73c | 25.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f53…12cabacked No | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…9148backed No | 41c | 24.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 65c | 19.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Académico de Viseu FC vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?No won
- Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.