Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9600a67e7c8834cdb8eb86dd23f8eb770d743315bc39afe7b912f29e903fc054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 79c | 22,228$17,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,597.63 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Over | 29c | 6,989$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,980.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…e9abbacked Under | 6c | 4,186$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 14c | 3,446$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.81 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 3c | 3,250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Under | 3c | 3,250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 2c | 2,667$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 7c | 2,492$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.32 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 2,461$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 51c | 2,383$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.74 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 3c | 2,250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 1,963$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Over | 78c | 1,904$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Under | 69c | 1,868$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 36c | 1,658$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.26 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 35c | 1,359$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.07 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 4c | 1,057$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.99 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Over | 2c | 1,030$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +574.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 12c | 1,025$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 1,019$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.51 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 30c | 946.47$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.04 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 31c | 761.83$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 35c | 699.98$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.99 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 59c | 638.73$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.14 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over | 45c | 479.79$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Over | 57c | 448.82$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 24c | 416.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.35 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…2cd4backed Under | 75c | 389.91$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 78c | 384.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…9c73backed Under | 55c | 377.31$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 25c | 244.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Under | 70c | 215.34$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.74 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Over | 24c | 208.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.62 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over | 9c | 204.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.92 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 33c | 196$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Under | 26c | 192.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…e424backed Under | 59c | 181.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 54c | 181.19$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ff…879cbacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 31c | 150$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over | 37c | 146.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 51c | 121$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 53c | 80.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 77c | 77.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 66c | 76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 27c | 70.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 70c | 64.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 18c | 63.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 61c | 59.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 73c | 57.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 66c | 53.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 73c | 53.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 73c | 53.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Over | 25c | 53.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 79c | 50.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 58c | 50.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 46c | 37.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Over | 66c | 34.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Under | 50c | 31.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 58c | 30.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Over | 62c | 30.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Under | 60c | 27.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 79c | 25.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…9148backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 76c | 23.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf548…c20ebacked Over | 57c | 18.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 65c | 18.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…cf9ebacked Over | 66c | 18.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 72c | 15.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: O/U 3.5this page
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: Fortuna Sittard O/U 0.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-1.5)Fortuna Sittard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.