La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14c94e7a85643a8c87f27c012e290876a06be7c713c6466b199628aa794fedd7

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Aug 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $123,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $117,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,497 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under	22c	46,345$10,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,294.14	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	28c	25,174$6,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,954.15	4,740	47%2,230 W · 2,510 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	76c	8,570$6,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,071.01	3,449	43%1,484 W · 1,965 L	+32.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	76c	7,604$5,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,824.84	834	44.6%372 W · 462 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over	71c	6,560$4,658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,902.38	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	64c	3,275$2,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,177.36	1,176	51.9%610 W · 566 L	+18.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under	18c	3,137$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.43	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	75c	2,383$1,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.69	417	51.8%216 W · 201 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	64c	2,300$1,472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828	200	54%108 W · 92 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over	68c	1,733$1,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550.51	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	21c	1,688$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.15	1,508	38.7%583 W · 925 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under	10c	1,543$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.33	228	59.6%136 W · 92 L	+18.2wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+55.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Over	65c	1,385$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.62	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	29c	1,044$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.09	999	33.4%334 W · 665 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	64c	991.66$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357	125	46.4%58 W · 67 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	32c	797$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.04	201	42.8%86 W · 115 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under	26c	634$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.79	112	53.6%60 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over	64c	600$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216	105	58.1%61 W · 44 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	26c	525.98$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.33	1,655	43.8%725 W · 930 L	-22.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over	64c	500$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb23c…61a7backed Over	64c	468.75$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.75	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under	26c	412.79$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.75	112	51.8%58 W · 54 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under	27c	387$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.66	156	60.9%95 W · 61 L	+10.2wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	26c	382.05$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.77	111	54.1%60 W · 51 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over	72c	377.25$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.63	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	75cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over	71c	351.57$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.57	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+3.8wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under	28c	345.08$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.03	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	65c	300$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.5	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	64c	288.63$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.91	644	57%367 W · 277 L	+27.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	30c	286.35$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.8	277	58.5%162 W · 115 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under	19c	282.89$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.48	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+3.9wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+58%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Under	37c	270.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	110	37.3%41 W · 69 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over	69c	239.01$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.48	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under	29c	199.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	116	64.7%75 W · 41 L	+8.9wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	73c	186.78$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.83	402	39.1%157 W · 245 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over	77c	186.68$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.81	51	31.4%16 W · 35 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	16c	166.25$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.6	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	30c	164.2$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.26	744	57.5%428 W · 316 L	+22.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	65c	159.99$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.6	92	52.2%48 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Under	18c	130.11$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.21	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	26cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	35c	114.26$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.99	440	39.3%173 W · 267 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over	74c	111.39$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.75	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	29c	100.21$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.18	225	57.3%129 W · 96 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe577…6d01backed Under	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4466…cd34backed Under	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under	35c	85.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd800…371cbacked Over	64c	81.53$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.35	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Under	14c	71.43$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe369…9148backed Under	14c	71.43$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Under	14c	71.43$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over	70c	70.03$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.06	141	40.4%57 W · 84 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	35c	65$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	89	47.2%42 W · 47 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over	67c	63.99$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.12	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Under	27c	63.37$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.13	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over	70c	61.53$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3500…07f0backed Under	28c	59.01$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.66	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.7wins	-0.38per pick	53cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	4	75%3 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	76cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69f6…4288backed Over	64c	46.88$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.88	25	92%23 W · 2 L	+5.2wins	+0.21per pick	71cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa351…44a1backed Under	27c	43.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under	36c	37.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.47	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb990…419dbacked Over	71c	37.42$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.85	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	35c	36.02$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.61	1,566	51.6%808 W · 758 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ecf…75d2backed Under	34c	32.35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over	78c	30.32$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Over	70c	29.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.78	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over	68c	28$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.96	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over	67c	23.44$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.74	922	54.1%499 W · 423 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb70…01c0backed Over	67c	22.39$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.39	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Over	67c	22.38$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.39	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over	75c	20.33$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.99	192	47.4%91 W · 101 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	76c	18.1$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.3	596	55.4%330 W · 266 L	+31.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over	79c	13.8$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.9	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	76c	13.59$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.32	215	46%99 W · 116 L	-14.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4965…f069backed Over	80c	13.23$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.65	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	180	62.2%112 W · 68 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5this page
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5Over won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5Under won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 5.5Under won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5Over won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5Under won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 2.5Under won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Sevilla FC O/U 0.5Over won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Sevilla FC O/U 1.5Over won
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Sevilla FC O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event